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NH Foods Ltd (NIPMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.0B

NF NH Foods Ltd logo NH Foods Ltd NIPMY · US
Price$21.00
Fair Value$24.03
Upside+14.4%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.24% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $15.42 – $32.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($15.42 to $32.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $15.42 (bear) to $32.14 (bull), base $24.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 69/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.71 $10.48 Fair Value $24.03 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.48 – $22.71 · fair‑value band $15.42 – $32.14 · the $21.00 price screens below the $24.03 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

NH Foods Ltd (NIPMY) currently trades at $21.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.03, implying the stock looks roughly 14.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NH Foods Ltd generated revenue of $1.5T at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at $161B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.42 (bear case) to $32.14 (bull case); at $21.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 14%, NIPMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.74 $21.94 $30.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $15.55 $24.60 $34.33 74
ROIC Compounder $11.12 $13.26 $15.10 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.20 $21.77 $31.01 38
Owner Earnings $14.38 $20.64 $29.45 31
5Y Revenue Exit $15.55 $24.35 $35.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.34 $39.64 $57.04 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.37 $24.03 $32.76 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.73 $22.37 $31.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.58 $32.35 $46.43 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.14 $22.15 $29.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.90 $18.01 $22.68 54
EPV $11.12 $13.26 $15.10 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.61 $27.48 $34.35 63
P/S Multiple $16.68 $22.24 $27.81 58
P/B Multiple $16.68 $22.24 $27.81 55
EV/EBIT $24.96 $34.10 $43.23 53
EV/EBITDA $34.90 $47.35 $59.80 54
EV/Revenue $17.12 $25.50 $33.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.49 $12.72 $18.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.74 $21.94 $30.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $15.55 $24.60 $34.33 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.10 $15.75 $16.46 61
ROIC Compounder $11.12 $13.26 $15.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.98 $21.40 $27.82 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.50) versus Asset-Based ($12.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5T
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.5%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow $50.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 20.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.04
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +155%
Net debt $161B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NH Foods Ltd. engages in manufacturing and selling ham, sausage, processed food, meat, and dairy product in Japan and internationally. It operates through Processed Foods Business Division and the Fresh Meat Business Division.

Full company description

NH Foods Ltd. engages in manufacturing and selling ham, sausage, processed food, meat, and dairy product in Japan and internationally. It operates through Processed Foods Business Division and the Fresh Meat Business Division. The Processed Foods Business division offers ham and sausages under the SCHAU ESSEN brand; and Chinese food meal kits under the Chuka Meisai brand; chilled pizza under the Ishigama Kobo brand; and other meat product under the Hokkaido Carl Ramon and Kamakura Ham Tomioka brands. This segment also provides dairy products, such as cheese and yogurt products. The Fresh Meats Business division is involved in the production and raising, slaughtering, processing, distribution, and sale of fresh meat product. The company also engages in the operation of a football club, baseball club, and ballpark. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Nippon Meat Packers Inc. and changed its name to NH Foods Ltd. in June 2014. NH Foods Ltd. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NH Foods Ltd reported revenue of $1.5T in FY2026 versus $1.2T in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $37.2B in FY2026, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.5T
Latest YoY
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+2.2%
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY22 $1.2T
FY23 $1.3T
FY24 $1.3T
FY25 $1.4T
FY26 $1.5T
Net income −6.2%/yr
FY22 $48.0B
FY23 $16.6B
FY24 $28.1B
FY25 $26.6B
FY26 $37.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NH Foods Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIPMY

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.2× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 29
FUTURE 53 · sector 19
PAST 27 · sector 27
HEALTH 87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 45 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NH Foods Ltd (NIPMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.03 versus a price of $21.00, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NIPMY?
Our model-based fair value for NH Foods Ltd is $24.03 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.00.
What is the quality score of NIPMY?
NH Foods Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NH Foods Ltd (NIPMY)?
NH Foods Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5T (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIPMY?
The net profit margin of NH Foods Ltd is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NH Foods Ltd pay a dividend?
NH Foods Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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