Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. $43.05, price $25.00, upside +72.2%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $23.49 – $37.70 · fair‑value band $28.66 – $61.25 · the $25.00 price screens below the $43.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PILLAR Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells various fluid control equipment in Japan and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronic Equipment Business and Industrial Equipment Business.
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PILLAR Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells various fluid control equipment in Japan and internationally. It operates through two segments, Electronic Equipment Business and Industrial Equipment Business. The company offers fittings, pumps, and other components made from fluororesin for the semiconductor, LCD, and medical industries, mechanical seal, valve stem components, fluid control seals, and gasket products. It also provides gland packings; filters and separators; and sliding material and seismic isolation products. The company was formerly known as Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to PILLAR Corporation in June 2024. PILLAR Corporation was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF) currently trades at $25.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.05, implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $44.41 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $25.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $13.69, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $28.66 (bear) to $61.25 (bull), the price of $25.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥59.5B in FY2026 versus ¥40.7B in FY2022, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.9B in FY2026, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $572M · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 1.58 · EPS (TTM) $2.38 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 15.0% · Return on equity 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 72%, NLLRF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $28.66Fair Value $43.05Bull $61.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
’20
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’25
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+24.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.7% a year for the price and +10.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 802 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+72.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.7% · Above median
Return on assets7.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $43.05 versus a price of $25.00, about +72% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NLLRF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is $43.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $25.00.
What is the quality score of NLLRF?
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $43.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $28.66, optimistic scenario $61.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $43.05, about +72% upside versus a price of $25.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $28.66, optimistic scenario $61.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥59.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NLLRF use?
Our models discount Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. that is +0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. grew +14.5 % a year. The price currently implies +0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (+0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.07 %: that much free cash flow Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. it is $43.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $25.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NLLRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $25.00, fair value $43.05, a gap of about +72% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NLLRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($25.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($43.05). For Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. the two are $18.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. at about $572M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $25.00; our models calculate a fair value of $43.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NLLRF?
Our models span a range for Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario $28.66, base $43.05, optimistic $61.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $25.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NLLRF?
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $43.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.7%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NLLRF from its 52-week high?
Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. trades at $25.00, at its 52-week high of $25.00 and 6% above the low of $23.49 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $43.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $25.00, calculated fair value $43.05 (+72%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NLLRF calculated?
We run Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $43.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. currently trades 72 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $25.00. Our model-based fair value is $43.05, about +72% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($28.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($28.66 to $61.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The market capitalisation of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is $572M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 1.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. are $2.38 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The dividend yield of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 2.8% (payout 29.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The net margin of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 15.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 14.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
The operating margin of Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Revenue at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. (NLLRF)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Pillar Packing Co., Ltd. are growing +12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026