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Nederman Holding (NMAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 4.4B SEK

NH Nederman Holding NMAN · ST
Pricekr 133.40
Fair Valuekr 132.82
Upside-0.4%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range kr 64.83 – kr 205.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from kr 132.68 to kr 132.82 (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 64.83 to kr 205.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 242.28 kr 115.80 Fair Value kr 132.82 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 115.80 – kr 242.28 · fair‑value band kr 64.83 – kr 205.18 · the kr 133.40 price screens above the kr 132.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Nederman Holding (NMAN) currently trades at kr 133.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 132.82, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nederman Holding generated revenue of 5.6B SEK at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at 1.8B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 64.83 (bear case) to kr 205.18 (bull case); at kr 133.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 0%, NMAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 16.15 kr 47.82 kr 96.44 80
Residual Income kr 63.56 kr 71.41 kr 120.27 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 65.19 kr 145.66 kr 243.82 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 16.07 kr 49.54 kr 102.15 38
Owner Earnings kr 75.73 kr 147.82 kr 261.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 65.19 kr 148.28 kr 259.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 112.72 kr 241.89 kr 400.75 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 55.02 kr 128.26 kr 209.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 42.74 kr 114.03 kr 219.95 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 77.04 kr 179.37 kr 330.31 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 40.33 kr 100.06 kr 180.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 53.15 kr 208.03 kr 282.32 54
Lynch FV kr 51.21 kr 73.16 kr 95.11 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 51.21 kr 73.16 kr 95.11 46
EPV kr 66.38 kr 82.49 kr 96.39 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 123.11 kr 164.14 kr 205.18 63
P/S Multiple kr 99.66 kr 132.88 kr 166.10 58
P/B Multiple kr 99.66 kr 132.88 kr 166.10 55
EV/EBIT kr 147.87 kr 209.03 kr 270.19 53
EV/EBITDA kr 185.16 kr 258.75 kr 332.35 54
EV/Revenue kr 95.34 kr 151.46 kr 207.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 35.87 kr 48.07 kr 71.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 16.15 kr 47.82 kr 96.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 65.19 kr 145.66 kr 243.82 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 63.56 kr 71.41 kr 120.27 76
ROIC Compounder kr 66.38 kr 91.64 kr 130.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 91.44 kr 130.62 kr 169.81 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 151.46) versus Growth DCF (kr 47.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.6B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow 157M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) kr 6.99
EPS growth (YoY) -22.5%
Net debt 1.8B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nederman Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as an environmental technology company. It operates through Extraction and Filtration Technology; Process Technology; Duct and Filter Technology; and Monitoring and Control Technology segments.

Full company description

Nederman Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as an environmental technology company. It operates through Extraction and Filtration Technology; Process Technology; Duct and Filter Technology; and Monitoring and Control Technology segments. The company develops and sells a range of filters and monitoring services, capturing devices, fans, and high-vacuum products and reels to distribute liquids and compressed air. It also develops and offers filter solutions; ducting systems, valves, and filter; as well as measurement technology and an IoT platform that provides customers with information and insight into critical parameters and processes. The company serves customers in industries such as metalworking, automotive and vehicle workshops, pulp and paper, food, chemicals, textile, manufacturing and engineering, woodworking, oil and gas, waste to energy, energy transition, data centre, and recycling and circular economy. It operates in Sweden, Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle East, the United States, Other Americas, China, India, and rest of the Asia Pacific. Nederman Holding AB (publ) was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Helsingborg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nederman Holding reported revenue of kr 5.8B in FY2025 versus kr 4.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was kr 274M in FY2025, compounding −2.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8B SEK
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Revenue +9.4%/yr
FY21 kr 4.0B
FY22 kr 5.2B
FY23 kr 6.2B
FY24 kr 5.9B
FY25 kr 5.8B
Net income −2.7%/yr
FY21 kr 305M
FY22 kr 329M
FY23 kr 341M
FY24 kr 345M
FY25 kr 274M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.8 pp

of which total revenue +7.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +3.1 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nederman Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NMAN

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −0% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 3.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 40 · sector 28
HEALTH 62 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nederman Holding (NMAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 132.82 versus a price of kr 133.40, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NMAN?
Our model-based fair value for Nederman Holding is kr 132.82 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 133.40.
What is the quality score of NMAN?
Nederman Holding has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nederman Holding (NMAN)?
Nederman Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NMAN?
The net profit margin of Nederman Holding is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nederman Holding pay a dividend?
Nederman Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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