NOBA Bank Group (NOBA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SE · Market cap 43.0B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 102.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (10 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range kr 74.40 – kr 120.05 · fair‑value band kr 102.39 – kr 170.65 · the kr 85.70 price screens below the kr 136.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
NOBA Bank Group (NOBA) currently trades at kr 85.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 136.52, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NOBA Bank Group generated revenue of 7.8B SEK at a net margin of 48.6%. Revenue grew 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. Net debt stands at 27.3B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 102.39 (bear case) to kr 170.65 (bull case); at kr 85.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 59%, NOBA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 65.31) versus Asset-Based (kr 31.26). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NOBA Bank Group AB (publ) provides financial and banking products and services in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Spain, Ireland, and the Netherlands. It operates through three brands namely, Nordax Bank, Bank Norwegian and Svensk Hypotekspension.
Full company description
NOBA Bank Group AB (publ) provides financial and banking products and services in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Spain, Ireland, and the Netherlands. It operates through three brands namely, Nordax Bank, Bank Norwegian and Svensk Hypotekspension. The company's services include private loans, credit cards, specialist mortgages, equity release mortgages, cross-border lending, and deposits for retail customers. The company was formerly known as Nordax Bank AB (publ) and changed its name to NOBA Bank Group AB (publ) in June 2023. NOBA Bank Group AB (publ) was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NOBA Bank Group reported revenue of kr 15.2B in FY2025 versus kr 3.1B in FY2021, a compound +49.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 3.4B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Banks - Diversified · 47 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM | $341.10 | $278.99 | -18% |
| Bank of America Corporation BAC | $59.67 | $55.89 | -6% |
| China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 | ¥10.16 | ¥17.20 | +69% |
| Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 | ¥7.50 | ¥13.44 | +79% |
| HSBC Holdings HSBC | $100.52 | $84.67 | -16% |
| Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 | ¥6.37 | ¥11.85 | +86% |
| Royal Bank of Canada RY | C$305.74 | C$190.48 | -38% |
| Bank of China Limited 601988 | ¥5.88 | ¥9.80 | +67% |
| Wells Fargo & Company WFCS | C$23.58 | C$27.40 | +16% |
| Banco Santander, S.A SAN | 51.02 PLN | 55.60 PLN | +9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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