Novanta Inc (NOVT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $5.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +12.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($37.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $99.22 – $186.20 · fair‑value band $21.81 – $37.79 · the $166.37 price screens above the $30.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Novanta Inc (NOVT) currently trades at $166.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.23, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Novanta Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $39.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.81 (bear case) to $37.79 (bull case); at $166.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -82%, NOVT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($37.51) versus Earnings-Based ($9.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides precision medicine, precision manufacturing, medical solutions, robotics and automation solutions, and advanced surgery solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates Automation Enabling Technologies and Medical Solutions segments.
Full company description
Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides precision medicine, precision manufacturing, medical solutions, robotics and automation solutions, and advanced surgery solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates Automation Enabling Technologies and Medical Solutions segments. The Precision Medicine and Manufacturing segment designs, manufactures, and markets laser beam steering and scanning solutions, laser sources, robotic and precision motion, robotic end-of-arm tooling, and bearing spindles. This segment serves advanced industrial processes, advanced industrial and medical robotics, other medical and life science automation applications, and medical laser procedures, such as ophthalmology applications. The Medical Solutions segment provides a range of medical grade technologies, including medical insufflators, pumps, and related disposables; imaging, identification and RFID solutions; advanced motion control solutions; and light engines, and integrated operating room technologies. The company was formerly known as GSI Group, Inc. and changed its name to Novanta Inc. in May 2016. Novanta Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Bedford, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Novanta Inc reported revenue of $981M in FY2025 versus $707M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $53.8M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
NOVT screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Novanta (NOVT) Lifted Guidance And Closed Riverpoint, Is The Upside Already Priced In?
- Novanta (NOVT) Closes Its Largest Acquisition】【。
- Novanta Inc (NOVT) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Cash Flow and Raised Guidance ...
- Increased Bookings Reinforce Novanta’s (NOVT) Broadening Organic Momentum
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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