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Novanta Inc (NOVT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $5.3B

NI Novanta Inc logo Novanta Inc NOVT · US
Price$166.37
Fair Value$30.23
Upside-81.8%
Quality48/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range $21.81 – $37.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +12.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($37.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$186.20 $99.22 Fair Value $30.23 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $99.22 – $186.20 · fair‑value band $21.81 – $37.79 · the $166.37 price screens above the $30.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Novanta Inc (NOVT) currently trades at $166.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.23, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Novanta Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $39.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.81 (bear case) to $37.79 (bull case); at $166.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -82%, NOVT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $19.54 $26.17 $35.23 80
Residual Income $27.14 $26.77 $23.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF $28.08 $44.03 $62.14 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $19.32 $26.83 $37.75 38
Owner Earnings $34.91 $50.42 $73.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.08 $44.25 $65.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $37.66 $62.09 $90.72 41
5Y P/E Exit $22.84 $34.50 $46.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.76 $37.51 $56.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.58 $49.59 $75.25 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.36 $30.91 $42.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.28 $31.30 $41.54 54
Lynch FV $6.71 $9.58 $12.46 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.71 $9.58 $12.46 46
EPV $30.47 $34.54 $38.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $22.67 $30.23 $37.79 63
P/S Multiple $19.27 $25.70 $32.12 58
P/B Multiple $19.27 $25.70 $32.12 55
EV/EBIT $48.95 $63.69 $78.43 53
EV/EBITDA $53.62 $69.92 $86.22 54
EV/Revenue $34.54 $47.31 $60.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.45 $24.73 $36.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.54 $26.17 $35.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.08 $44.03 $62.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.14 $26.77 $23.76 76
ROIC Compounder $30.47 $34.54 $39.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $18.70 $26.72 $34.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($37.51) versus Earnings-Based ($9.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.4%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow $48.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 112.4
More key figures
Operating margin 11.7%
EPS (TTM) $1.39
EPS growth (YoY) -13.4%
Net cash $39.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides precision medicine, precision manufacturing, medical solutions, robotics and automation solutions, and advanced surgery solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates Automation Enabling Technologies and Medical Solutions segments.

Full company description

Novanta Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides precision medicine, precision manufacturing, medical solutions, robotics and automation solutions, and advanced surgery solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates Automation Enabling Technologies and Medical Solutions segments. The Precision Medicine and Manufacturing segment designs, manufactures, and markets laser beam steering and scanning solutions, laser sources, robotic and precision motion, robotic end-of-arm tooling, and bearing spindles. This segment serves advanced industrial processes, advanced industrial and medical robotics, other medical and life science automation applications, and medical laser procedures, such as ophthalmology applications. The Medical Solutions segment provides a range of medical grade technologies, including medical insufflators, pumps, and related disposables; imaging, identification and RFID solutions; advanced motion control solutions; and light engines, and integrated operating room technologies. The company was formerly known as GSI Group, Inc. and changed its name to Novanta Inc. in May 2016. Novanta Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Bedford, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Novanta Inc reported revenue of $981M in FY2025 versus $707M in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $53.8M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$981M
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+7.4%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 $707M
FY22 $861M
FY23 $882M
FY24 $949M
FY25 $981M
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 $50.3M
FY22 $74.1M
FY23 $72.9M
FY24 $64.1M
FY25 $53.8M

NOVT screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Novanta Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOVT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 107.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 109.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 28.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.11× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 52 · sector 34
PAST 21 · sector 25
HEALTH 92 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Novanta Inc (NOVT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.23 versus a price of $166.37, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NOVT?
Our model-based fair value for Novanta Inc is $30.23 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $166.37.
What is the quality score of NOVT?
Novanta Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Novanta Inc (NOVT)?
Novanta Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOVT?
The net profit margin of Novanta Inc is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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