NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NSL Foods Public Company Limited stock THB 29.14, price THB 22.70, upside +28.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.67 THB – 33.88 THB · fair‑value band 13.53 THB – 47.96 THB · the 22.70 THB price screens below the 29.14 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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NSL Foods Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of bakery and snack products in Thailand. The company offers snacks, bakeries, desserts, and other food products.
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It is also involved in the wholesale of frozen and processed fish, aquatic products, meat, seaweed, vegetables, and hold investment in other companies; and processing of meat products such as descaling, slicing, and portioning into various sizes with packaging options for convenient meal preparation to restaurants, hotels, catering services, and international schools.
The company offers its products under Eazy Taste, Eazy Sweet, Eazy Bake, Seven Fresh, Kao Tang by NSL, Pang Thai, Natural Bite, NSL Bakery, and NSL Selection through various points of sale, such as convenient stores, supermarkets, wholesalers, hypermarkets, and cash and carry, as well as markets, grocery stores, souvenir stores, and gift shops.
In addition, it is involved in exporting and importing products; manufacture, processing and distribution of products from coconut, baby corn and other agricultural products; bakery and manufacture, wholesale, retail, export food and drinks.
NSL Foods Public Company Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) currently trades at 22.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.14 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 22% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 47.35 THB per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 22.70 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 11.29 THB, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.53 THB (bear) to 47.96 THB (bull), the price of 22.70 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
NSL Foods Public Company Limited reported revenue of 6.9B THB in FY2025 versus 3.0B THB in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was 604M THB in FY2025, compounding +33.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.8B THB (≈ $204M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.96 · EPS (TTM) 1.93 THB · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 25.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 28%, NSL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.53 THBFair Value 29.14 THBBull47.96 THB
Price 22.70 THB · Upside +28.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7546 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+39.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31.1% vs 29.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 11%
2025 sits 81% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.6% a year for the price and +7.6% for the forecasts.
Compare NSL Foods Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)25.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets16.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)10.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NSL Foods Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSL
Frequently asked questions
Is NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.14 THB versus a price of 22.70 THB, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NSL?
Our model-based fair value for NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 29.14 THB (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.70 THB.
What is the quality score of NSL?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.14 THB (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.53 THB, optimistic scenario 47.96 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NSL Foods Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.14 THB, about +28% upside versus a price of 22.70 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.53 THB, optimistic scenario 47.96 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does NSL Foods Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 4.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited pays a dividend of 1.05 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 28, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 54.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.46 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NSL Foods Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +35.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.8 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NSL use?
Our models discount NSL Foods Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NSL Foods Public Company Limited that is +35.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NSL Foods Public Company Limited grew +18.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +35.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NSL Foods Public Company Limited (+35.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.12 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow NSL Foods Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NSL Foods Public Company Limited it is 29.14 THB per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 22.70 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is NSL Foods Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, NSL trades below its calculated fair value: price 22.70 THB, fair value 29.14 THB, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NSL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.70 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.14 THB). For NSL Foods Public Company Limited the two are 6.44 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NSL Foods Public Company Limited worth?
The market values NSL Foods Public Company Limited at about 6.8B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 22.70 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 29.14 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NSL?
Our models span a range for NSL Foods Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 13.53 THB, base 29.14 THB, optimistic 47.96 THB per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 22.70 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NSL?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.14 THB is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 17.5. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Balance-sheet figures for NSL Foods Public Company Limited (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 25.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NSL from its 52-week high?
NSL Foods Public Company Limited trades at 22.70 THB, about 8% below its 52-week high of 24.57 THB and 11% above the low of 20.45 THB (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.14 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NSL Foods Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NSL Foods Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 22.70 THB, calculated fair value 29.14 THB (+28%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NSL calculated?
We run NSL Foods Public Company Limited through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 29.14 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NSL Foods Public Company Limited currently trades 22% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 22.70 THB. Our model-based fair value is 29.14 THB, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NSL Foods Public Company Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (13.53 THB to 47.96 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of NSL Foods Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The market capitalisation of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 6.8B THB (≈ $204M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 0.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Earnings per share at NSL Foods Public Company Limited are 1.93 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The dividend yield of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 4.6% (payout 54.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The net margin of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 25.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 17.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
The operating margin of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Revenue at NSL Foods Public Company Limited is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL)?
Earnings per share at NSL Foods Public Company Limited are growing −8.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NSL Foods Public Company Limited (NSL) carry?
The net debt of NSL Foods Public Company Limited is 150M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026