Natuzzi SpA (NTZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $23.4M · ISIN US63905A2006

What is Natuzzi SpA really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.00 – $22.75 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.5700 · the $1.00 price screens above the $0.5000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Natuzzi SpA (NTZ) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.40 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the $1.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.3100, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Natuzzi SpA generated revenue of $308M at a net margin of −9.7%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −72.8%. Net debt stands at $81.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4600 (bear case) to $0.5700 (bull case); at $1.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −50%, NTZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.40) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Natuzzi S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of leather and fabric upholstered furniture in the United States, Italy, China, Brazil, Spain, Mexico, Canada, Australia, Belgium, the United Arab Emirates, South Korea, Israel, Taiwan, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Full company description

Natuzzi S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of leather and fabric upholstered furniture in the United States, Italy, China, Brazil, Spain, Mexico, Canada, Australia, Belgium, the United Arab Emirates, South Korea, Israel, Taiwan, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Natuzzi brand and Private label. The company offers stationary furniture, such as sofas, loveseats, and armchairs; sectional furniture; motion furniture; sofa beds; occasional chairs, including recliners and massage chairs; home furnishing accessories, including coffee tables, lamps, rugs, and wall units; and home accessories, which include vases, mirrors, magazines racks, trays, and decorative objects. It also sells polyurethane foam and leather processing by-products. It operates Natuzzi Italia, Divani&Divani by Natuzzi, Natuzzi Re-vive, and Natuzzi Editions stores. The company offers products through its own stores and franchised stores. The company was formerly known as Industrie Natuzzi S.p.A. and changed its name to Natuzzi S.p.A. in June 2002. Natuzzi S.p.A. was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Santeramo In Colle, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Natuzzi SpA reported revenue of €296M in FY2025 versus €427M in FY2021, a compound −8.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€28.8M in FY2025.

NTZ screens 100% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 320 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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