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NYKD Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · NO · Market cap 922M NOK

N NYKD NYKD · OL
Pricekr 3.30
Fair Valuekr 1.48
Upside-55.2%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/7)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.8000 – kr 2.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from kr 1.46 to kr 1.48 (+1.4%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +15.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 0.8000 to kr 2.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 58.47 kr 1.27 Fair Value kr 1.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.27 – kr 58.47 · fair‑value band kr 0.8000 – kr 2.09 · the kr 3.30 price screens above the kr 1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

NYKD (NYKD) currently trades at kr 3.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 556K NOK. Revenue grew 75.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 111M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.8000 (bear case) to kr 2.09 (bull case); at kr 3.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -55%, NYKD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM kr 0.7700 kr 1.38 kr 1.91 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.7700 kr 1.26 kr 1.48 61
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1400 kr 0.1900 kr 0.2800 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 0.7700 kr 1.38 kr 1.91 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 0.7700 kr 1.26 kr 1.48 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1400 kr 0.1900 kr 0.2800 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (kr 1.26) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.1900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 556K NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) +75.2%
Return on equity -13.5%
Free cash flow −29.5M NOK FY2025
Operating margin -2,723%
EPS (TTM) kr -0.5000
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -93.5%
Net cash 111M NOK FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nykode Therapeutics AS, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops novel immunotherapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company develops vaccines for the treatment cancer, autoimmune, and infectious diseases.

Full company description

Nykode Therapeutics AS, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops novel immunotherapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company develops vaccines for the treatment cancer, autoimmune, and infectious diseases. Its lead product candidates include ABI-SUVA for targeting HPV16+ induced malignancies, with head, and neck cancer as the primary indication is in Phase 2 randomized controlled trial. It also offers VB10.NEO, which is in Phase1b VB-N-02 trial; technology platform, which combines genes with desired properties to make novel compounds by creating a new code. Nykode Therapeutics AS was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NYKD reported revenue of kr 0 in FY2025 versus kr 34.0M in FY2021. Reported net income was −kr 12.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
8.7M NOK
Latest YoY
−32.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−36.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+108.8%
Revenue
FY21 kr 34.0M
FY22 kr 7.2M
FY23 kr 12.9M
FY24 kr 8.7M
FY25 kr 0
Net income
FY21 −kr 9.4M
FY22 −kr 42.7M
FY23 −kr 35.2M
FY24 −kr 38.8M
FY25 −kr 12.2M

NYKD screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NYKD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NYKD

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on assets -14% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 75% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NYKD overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.48 versus a price of kr 3.30, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NYKD?
Our model-based fair value for NYKD is kr 1.48 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 3.30.
What is the quality score of NYKD?
NYKD has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NYKD?
NYKD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 556K NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NYKD?
The net profit margin of NYKD is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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