Nusantara Almazia (NZIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 325B IDR (≈ $32.5M) · ISIN ID1000151400
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 1,049% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.84 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (4.09 IDR to 21.84 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 380.00 IDR · fair‑value band 4.09 IDR – 21.84 IDR · the 149.00 IDR price screens above the 12.96 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Nusantara Almazia (NZIA) currently trades at 149.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.96 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 91.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nusantara Almazia generated revenue of 40.6B IDR at a net margin of -33.8%. Revenue declined 74.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. Net debt stands at 43.0B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.09 IDR (bear case) to 21.84 IDR (bull case); at 149.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -91%, NZIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.88 IDR per share, which is 6.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (140.83 IDR) versus Multiples (7.55 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Nusantara Almazia Tbk engages in the property development business in Indonesia. It develops residential property for the lower middle-class society; and apartments. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Karawang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nusantara Almazia reported revenue of 53.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 100B IDR in FY2021, a compound −14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −13.7B IDR in FY2025.
NZIA screens 1,049% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 594 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | -19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$46.12 | HK$68.85 | +49% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | -81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | -74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | -53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | -32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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