Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (OBAMS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 13.7B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Share price −6.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.98 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range 4.74 TRY – 14.24 TRY · fair‑value band 1.12 TRY – 1.98 TRY · the 4.81 TRY price screens above the 1.55 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (OBAMS) currently trades at 4.81 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.55 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 22.8B TRY at a net margin of -14.0%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.1%. Net debt stands at 512M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.12 TRY (bear case) to 1.98 TRY (bull case); at 4.81 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -68%, OBAMS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (3.43 TRY) versus Multiples (2.24 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells pasta in Turkey and internationally. The company offers children pasta, mac and cheese, noodles, flour, and semolina products. It sells its products under the OBA Makarna, OBA Mie, OBA Gold, Obalino, Nido, Eva, Omelia, Pasta Layla, Pasta Savana, Vera, Rosa Linda, and Nido brands.
Full company description
Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells pasta in Turkey and internationally. The company offers children pasta, mac and cheese, noodles, flour, and semolina products. It sells its products under the OBA Makarna, OBA Mie, OBA Gold, Obalino, Nido, Eva, Omelia, Pasta Layla, Pasta Savana, Vera, Rosa Linda, and Nido brands. The company was formerly known as Türsan Kollektif Sirketi Selahattin Öztahtaci, Abdullah Incetahtaci, Adil Ceydeli and changed its name to Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. in December 1988. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Gaziantep, Turkey. Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Alpinvest Yatirim Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret AS.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oba Makarnacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 22.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 5.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.0B TRY in FY2025.
OBAMS screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 651 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 79.00 TWD | 68.72 TWD | -13% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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