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The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 21, 2026: fair value of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated $10.26, price $6.55, upside +56.6%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · US · Home Japan · ISIN JP3194700005

TO The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated logo Broad data Sep 28, 2026

The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated

OKEPF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $10.26 · Strongly undervalued (+56.6%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!2.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.99 $5.32 Fair Value $10.26 Jan 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.32 – $14.99 · fair‑value band $7.66 – $13.04 · the $6.55 price screens below the $10.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

The Okinawa Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. It operates through Electric Power Business and Construction Business segments. The company generates electricity from thermal sources.

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The Okinawa Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. It operates through Electric Power Business and Construction Business segments. The company generates electricity from thermal sources. It also offers civil engineering, architectural, electrical, piping and telecommunications works, as well as construction and maintenance of power equipment. In addition, the company involved in repair and contract operation of internal combustion power generation; contract driving, sales and repair of electrical equipment; operation and inspection of electrical machinery equipment; manufacturing, repair and inspection fees for electric meters; land and building management and leasing, and land business; contracting out of work; design, construction, operation and sales of computer; survey, design and construction supervision of power facilities; environmental surveys; contract for electrification system consulting business; colocation services and call center operations; and wind power generation. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Urasoe, Japan.

Stock analysis

The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) currently trades at $6.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.26, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.44 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the $6.55 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.45, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $7.66 (bear) to $13.04 (bull), the price of $6.55 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated reported revenue of ¥222B in FY2026 versus ¥176B in FY2022, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥6.3B in FY2026, compounding +33.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $356M · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) $0.7200 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 57%, OKEPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.66 Fair Value $10.26 Bull $13.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $11.13 $11.13 $11.50 76
Gordon GGM $1.24 $1.45 $1.67 69
Graham-Dodd $4.98 $8.01 $9.67 67
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.98 $8.01 $9.67 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.24 $1.45 $1.67 69
DDM Multi-Stage $1.24 $1.56 $1.92 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.88 $13.17 $16.47 63
P/S Multiple $9.33 $12.44 $15.55 58
P/B Multiple $9.33 $12.44 $15.55 55
EV/EBITDA $0.4800 $10.14 $19.80 58
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.65 $10.26 $15.31 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.13 $11.13 $11.50 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.02 $10.03 $13.04 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.3% vs 2.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
2026 sits 87% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +56.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −0.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.01× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.45 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%
GD Power Development Co 600795 ¥5.34 ¥5.99 +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OKEPF

Frequently asked questions

Is The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.26 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $6.55, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OKEPF?
Our model-based fair value for The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is $10.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $6.55.
What is the quality score of OKEPF?
The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.66, optimistic scenario $13.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.26, about +57% upside versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $6.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.66, optimistic scenario $13.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥220B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated pay a dividend?
The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated it is $10.26 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $6.55. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, OKEPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.55, fair value $10.26, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OKEPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.26). For The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated the two are $3.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated worth?
The market values The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated at about $356M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $6.55; our models calculate a fair value of $10.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OKEPF?
Our models span a range for The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated: cautious scenario $7.66, base $10.26, optimistic $13.04 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $6.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OKEPF?
The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 2.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $6.55, calculated fair value $10.26 (+57%), Quality Score 39/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OKEPF calculated?
We run The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 21, 2026 and stands at $6.55. Our model-based fair value is $10.26, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($7.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) come from?
Earnings per share at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated grew −0.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin −5.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated

How large is the market capitalisation of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The market capitalisation of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is $356M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is 0.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Earnings per share at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated are $0.7200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The dividend yield of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is 2.9% (payout 26.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The net margin of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is 2.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
The operating margin of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Revenue at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF)?
Earnings per share at The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated are growing +6.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) generate?
The free cash flow of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is −¥10.9B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated (OKEPF) carry?
The net debt of The Okinawa Electric Power Company Incorporated is ¥303B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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