The Okinawa Electric Power Company (OKEPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $356M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($9.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.32 – $14.99 · fair‑value band $9.13 – $12.76 · the $6.55 price screens below the $11.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
The Okinawa Electric Power Company (OKEPF) currently trades at $6.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.12, implying the stock looks roughly 69.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Okinawa Electric Power Company generated revenue of $220B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $303B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.13 (bear case) to $12.76 (bull case); at $6.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 70%, OKEPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($12.85) versus Earnings-Based ($8.28). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Okinawa Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. It operates through Electric Power Business and Construction Business segments. The company generates electricity from thermal sources.
Full company description
The Okinawa Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. It operates through Electric Power Business and Construction Business segments. The company generates electricity from thermal sources. It also offers civil engineering, architectural, electrical, piping and telecommunications works, as well as construction and maintenance of power equipment. In addition, the company involved in repair and contract operation of internal combustion power generation; contract driving, sales and repair of electrical equipment; operation and inspection of electrical machinery equipment; manufacturing, repair and inspection fees for electric meters; land and building management and leasing, and land business; contracting out of work; design, construction, operation and sales of computer; survey, design and construction supervision of power facilities; environmental surveys; contract for electrification system consulting business; colocation services and call center operations; and wind power generation. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Urasoe, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
The Okinawa Electric Power Company reported revenue of $222B in FY2026 versus $176B in FY2022, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $6.3B in FY2026, compounding +33.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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