OMG Group Ltd (OMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what OMG Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.3850 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0170 · the A$0.0070 price screens below the A$0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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OMG Group Limited, is a food and milk beverage company, focusing on the health and wellness markets under the Blue Dinosaur brand name in Australia and New Zealand, the United States, the Middle East, and Europe. It serves the food and beverage industry, operating in retail, food service, food manufacturing, snacking and quick service stores.
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OMG Group Limited, is a food and milk beverage company, focusing on the health and wellness markets under the Blue Dinosaur brand name in Australia and New Zealand, the United States, the Middle East, and Europe. It serves the food and beverage industry, operating in retail, food service, food manufacturing, snacking and quick service stores. The company sells its products through e-commerce, retailers, and physical stores. The company was formerly known as Forbidden Foods Limited and changed its name to OMG Group Limited in May 2025. OMG Group Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
OMG Group Ltd (OMG) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0085 (bear) to A$0.0170 (bull), the price of A$0.0070 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
OMG Group Ltd reported revenue of A$4.2M in FY2025 versus A$4.2M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$5.7M (≈ $4.0M) · P/S ratio 1.78 · Net margin −45.4% · Return on equity −4,437% · Return on assets (EBIT) −76.7% · Operating margin −29.7% · Revenue (TTM) A$3.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +79.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 21%, OMG screens cheaper than that median.
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Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+65.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−28.1% (2020) → −43.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+42% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−30% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth79% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.99× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OMG Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMG
Frequently asked questions
Is OMG Group Ltd (OMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0070, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OMG?
Our model-based fair value for OMG Group Ltd is A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0070.
What is the quality score of OMG?
OMG Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OMG Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0085, about +21% upside versus a price of A$0.0070 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
OMG Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.2M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OMG Group Ltd it is A$0.0085 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0070. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OMG Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, OMG trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0070, fair value A$0.0085, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0070); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0085). For OMG Group Ltd the two are A$0.0015 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OMG Group Ltd worth?
The market values OMG Group Ltd at about A$5.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0070; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0085 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OMG?
Our models span a range for OMG Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0085, base A$0.0085, optimistic A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0070). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is OMG from its 52-week high?
OMG Group Ltd trades at A$0.0070, about 42% below its 52-week high of A$0.0120 and 40% above the low of A$0.0050 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0085 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OMG Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OMG Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0070, calculated fair value A$0.0085 (+21%), Quality Score 44/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OMG calculated?
We run OMG Group Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0085, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. OMG Group Ltd currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0070. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0085, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OMG Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0085). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0085 to A$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of OMG Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The market capitalisation of OMG Group Ltd is A$5.7M (≈ $4.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OMG Group Ltd is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The net margin of OMG Group Ltd is −45.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OMG Group Ltd is −4,437% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OMG Group Ltd is −76.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
The operating margin of OMG Group Ltd is −29.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OMG Group Ltd (OMG)?
Revenue at OMG Group Ltd is growing +79.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does OMG Group Ltd (OMG) generate?
The free cash flow of OMG Group Ltd is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OMG Group Ltd (OMG) carry?
The net debt of OMG Group Ltd is A$109K (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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