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OneConstruction Group (ONEG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $27.8M

OG OneConstruction Group logo OneConstruction Group ONEG · US
Price$1.03
Fair Value$0.9500
Upside-7.8%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.7200 – $1.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $1.02 to $0.9500 (−6.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $0.7200 (bear) to $1.19 (bull), base $0.9500. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

$12.99 $0.8500 Fair Value $0.9500 Dec 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $0.8500 – $12.99 · fair‑value band $0.7200 – $1.19 · the $1.03 price screens above the $0.9500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

OneConstruction Group (ONEG) currently trades at $1.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 7.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, OneConstruction Group generated revenue of $52.2M at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue declined 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.9%. Net debt stands at $23.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7200 (bear case) to $1.19 (bull case); at $1.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -8%, ONEG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $0.6200 $0.8900 $1.16 68
ROIC Compounder $0.6900 $0.7700 $0.8500 67
P/E Multiple $0.8800 $1.18 $1.47 63
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.4500 $0.5600 $0.7300 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3800 $0.4700 $0.5200 54
EPV $0.6900 $0.7700 $0.8300 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.8800 $1.18 $1.47 63
P/S Multiple $0.7200 $0.9500 $1.19 58
P/B Multiple $0.7200 $0.9500 $1.19 55
EV/EBIT $1.39 $1.84 $2.29 53
EV/EBITDA $1.08 $1.42 $1.77 54
EV/Revenue $1.01 $1.42 $1.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3800 $0.5100 $0.7600 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.5600 $0.5700 $0.5500 61
ROIC Compounder $0.6900 $0.7700 $0.8500 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.6200 $0.8900 $1.16 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.18) versus Earnings-Based ($0.4700). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $52.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -4.9%
Free cash flow −$5.1M FY2025
Operating margin 0.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) -22.7%
Net debt $23.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

OneConstruction Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides structural steelwork for construction projects in Hong Kong. The company engages in the installation and formation of steel structures; and provides workforce services.

Full company description

OneConstruction Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides structural steelwork for construction projects in Hong Kong. The company engages in the installation and formation of steel structures; and provides workforce services. It serves public and private sector projects, including infrastructure, and public facilities and residential developments, as well as private commercial, residential, and industrial developments. The company was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. OneConstruction Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Rich Plenty Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

OneConstruction Group reported revenue of $53.2M in FY2025 versus $63.5M in FY2022, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $898K in FY2025, compounding −20.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$53.2M
Latest YoY
−16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Revenue −5.7%/yr
FY22 $63.5M
FY23 $54.5M
FY24 $63.5M
FY25 $53.2M
Net income −20.2%/yr
FY22 $1.8M
FY23 $1.7M
FY24 $1.8M
FY25 $898K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OneConstruction Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONEG

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 56.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is OneConstruction Group (ONEG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9500 versus a price of $1.03, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ONEG?
Our model-based fair value for OneConstruction Group is $0.9500 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.03.
What is the quality score of ONEG?
OneConstruction Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of OneConstruction Group (ONEG)?
OneConstruction Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $52.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ONEG?
The net profit margin of OneConstruction Group is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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