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Data-driven stock valuation

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.5B · ISIN US68622P1093

At a glance

OP Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc logo Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc ORIC · US
Price$12.50
Fair Value$2.15
Upside−82.8%
Quality26/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 481% above our fair value of $2.15.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is $2.15 per share against a price of $12.50, so the fair value sits 83% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $1.42 to $2.69

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −8.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.42 to $2.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.22 $2.44 Fair Value $2.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.44 – $25.22 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $2.69 · the $12.50 price screens above the $2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) currently trades at $12.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 481.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of −42.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $34.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Scenario range: $1.42 (bear) to $2.69 (bull), the price of $12.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −83%, ORIC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.85 $2.48 $3.71 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.85 $2.48 $3.71 51

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−1.37
Return on equity −39.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −38.7% avg 5y
Free cash flow −$114M FY2025
Net cash $34.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 5
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States.

Full company description

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as ORIC-114, a brain penetrant orally bioavailable irreversible inhibitor, currently under Phase 1b study, that selectively target epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) exon 20 and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 exon 20 with high potency towards exon 20 insertion mutations; and rinzimetostat formerly known as ORIC-944, an allosteric inhibitor of the polycomb repressive complex 2 for prostate cancer, currently under Phase 1b study. It has a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Bayer to evaluate ORIC-944 in combination with Nubeqa AR inhibitor; and a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Johnson & Johnson to evaluate ORIC 944 in combination with Erleada AR inhibitor. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$129M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$77.7M
FY22 −$89.1M
FY23 −$101M
FY24 −$128M
FY25 −$129M

ORIC screens 481% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORIC

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 633 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.95× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $546.12 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $827.72 $594.40 −28%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥271.00 ¥47.36 −83%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,452,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −27%
CSL Limited CSL A$174.50 A$141.68 −19%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BioNTech SE 22UA €80.60 €52.92 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.15 versus a price of $12.50, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORIC?
Our model-based fair value for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is $2.15 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.50.
What is the quality score of ORIC?
Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.15 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.15, about −83% upside versus a price of $12.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of ORIC?
The net profit margin of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc it is $2.15 per share (as of Aug 21, 2026), against a price of $12.50. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 21, 2026, ORIC trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.50, fair value $2.15, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORIC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.15). For Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc the two are $10.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc worth?
The market values Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 21, 2026). Per share that is $12.50; our models calculate a fair value of $2.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORIC?
Our models span a range for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc: cautious scenario $1.42, base $2.15, optimistic $2.69 per share (as of Aug 21, 2026, price $12.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (as of Aug 21, 2026): return on equity −39.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORIC from its 52-week high?
Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc trades at $12.50, about 16% below its 52-week high of $14.93 and 73% above the low of $7.23 (as of Aug 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 21, 2026: price $12.50, calculated fair value $2.15 (−83%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORIC calculated?
We run Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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