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Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock $2.15, price $9.00, upside -76.1%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US

OP Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc logo Thin data Oct 27, 2026

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc

ORIC · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 76% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value $2.15 · Strongly overvalued (−76.1%)
Quality 33/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$25.22 $2.44 Fair Value $2.15 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.44 – $25.22 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $2.69 · the $9.00 price screens above the $2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.

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Company profile

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States.

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Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as ORIC-114, a brain penetrant orally bioavailable irreversible inhibitor, currently under Phase 1b study, that selectively target epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) exon 20 and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 exon 20 with high potency towards exon 20 insertion mutations; and rinzimetostat formerly known as ORIC-944, an allosteric inhibitor of the polycomb repressive complex 2 for prostate cancer, currently under Phase 1b study.

It has a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Bayer to evaluate ORIC-944 in combination with Nubeqa AR inhibitor; and a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Johnson & Johnson to evaluate ORIC 944 in combination with Erleada AR inhibitor.

The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) currently trades at $9.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.15, 76.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.42 (bear) to $2.69 (bull), the price of $9.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$129M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.2B Small · EPS (TTM) $−1.32 · Return on equity −39.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.7% · Free cash flow −$114M · Net cash $34.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −76%, ORIC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.42 Fair Value $2.15 Bull $2.69
Price $9.00 · Upside -76.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $1.67 $2.53 $3.16 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.67 $2.53 $3.16 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 5
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 29
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ORIC screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (67 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 600 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −31.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.13× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $816.10 $1,275 +56% vs ORIC
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $517.49 $569.24 +10% vs ORIC
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,374,000 KRW 1,511,400 KRW +10% vs ORIC
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.80 HK$50.38 +10% vs ORIC
argenx SE ARGX $869.33 $908.40 +4% vs ORIC
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $227.66 $217.88 −4% vs ORIC
CSL Limited CSL A$196.78 A$178.75 −9% vs ORIC
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $370.87 $254.12 −31% vs ORIC
Celltrion, Inc 068270 188,600 KRW 74,944 KRW −60% vs ORIC
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $64.76 $19.01 −71% vs ORIC

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Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc · Fair Value
$2.15 −76%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORIC

Frequently asked questions

Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.15 versus a price of $9.00, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORIC?
Our model-based fair value for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is $2.15 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.00.
What is the quality score of ORIC?
Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.15 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.15, about −76% upside versus a price of $9.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc it is $2.15 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of $9.00. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, ORIC trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.00, fair value $2.15, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORIC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.15). For Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc the two are $6.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc worth?
The market values Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is $9.00; our models calculate a fair value of $2.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORIC?
Our models span a range for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc: cautious scenario $1.42, base $2.15, optimistic $2.69 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price $9.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −39.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORIC from its 52-week high?
Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc trades at $9.00, about 39% below its 52-week high of $14.65 and 20% above the low of $7.48 (as of Oct 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, argenx SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price $9.00, calculated fair value $2.15 (−76%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORIC calculated?
We run Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was $9.00. Our model-based fair value is $2.15, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.42 to $2.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
The market capitalisation of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
Earnings per share at Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc are $−1.32. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is −39.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is −38.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) generate?
The free cash flow of Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc is −$114M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc (ORIC) hold?
Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc holds more cash than debt, $34.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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