Orkla ASA (ORK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Orkla ASA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 55.07 – kr 126.13 · fair‑value band kr 78.26 – kr 197.73 · the kr 92.85 price screens below the kr 126.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Orkla ASA operates as an industrial investment company within brands and consumer-oriented businesses worldwide. It offers decorative paints, marine coatings, protective coatings, and powder coatings; frozen pizza, condiments, bread toppings, and ready-to-eat meals; bakery, ice cream, and plant-based products; and confectionery, biscuits, and salty snacks.
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Orkla ASA operates as an industrial investment company within brands and consumer-oriented businesses worldwide. It offers decorative paints, marine coatings, protective coatings, and powder coatings; frozen pizza, condiments, bread toppings, and ready-to-eat meals; bakery, ice cream, and plant-based products; and confectionery, biscuits, and salty snacks. The company also provides branded consumer health products, such as daily nutrition and oral health, wound care, and functional personal care under the Möller's, Jordan, and Salvequick brand names; spices and spice blends, ready-to-eat sweets, breakfast mixes, and other; and cleaning and personal hygiene products, such as detergents, cleaning equipment, and personal care products. In addition, it operates a franchised pizza business; offers paintbrushes, rollers, and other painting project consumables comprising sanding equipment, tape, protective gear, and cleaning products; and health and sports nutrition products. The company was founded in 1654 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
Stock analysis
Orkla ASA (ORK) currently trades at kr 92.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 126.18, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 213.26 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 92.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 33.82, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 78.26 (bear) to kr 197.73 (bull), the price of kr 92.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Orkla ASA reported revenue of 71.5B NOK in FY2025 versus 50.4B NOK in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 11.5B NOK in FY2025, compounding +24.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 103B NOK (≈ $11.0B) · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) kr 6.43 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 16.0% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 36%, ORK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 78.26Fair Value kr 126.18Bull kr 197.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 1.76 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22% vs 14%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 10%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 123% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (68 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 650 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+27% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orkla ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORK
Frequently asked questions
Is Orkla ASA (ORK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 126.18 versus a price of kr 92.85, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORK?
Our model-based fair value for Orkla ASA is kr 126.18 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 92.85.
What is the quality score of ORK?
Orkla ASA has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 126.18 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 78.26, optimistic scenario kr 197.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orkla ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 126.18, about +36% upside versus a price of kr 92.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 78.26, optimistic scenario kr 197.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Orkla ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 71.8B NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Orkla ASA pay a dividend?
Orkla ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Orkla ASA (ORK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orkla ASA would have to grow free cash flow by -0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORK use?
Our models discount Orkla ASA at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orkla ASA that is -0.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orkla ASA (ORK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Orkla ASA grew +8.7 % a year. The price currently implies -0.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orkla ASA (ORK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orkla ASA (-0.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.50 %: that much free cash flow Orkla ASA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orkla ASA it is kr 126.18 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of kr 92.85. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orkla ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, ORK trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 92.85, fair value kr 126.18, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 92.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 126.18). For Orkla ASA the two are kr 33.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orkla ASA worth?
The market values Orkla ASA at about 103B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is kr 92.85; our models calculate a fair value of kr 126.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORK?
Our models span a range for Orkla ASA: cautious scenario kr 78.26, base kr 126.18, optimistic kr 197.73 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price kr 92.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ORK?
Orkla ASA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 126.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 2.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ORK?
The PEG ratio of Orkla ASA is 1.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orkla ASA (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORK from its 52-week high?
Orkla ASA trades at kr 92.85, about 27% below its 52-week high of kr 126.80 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 126.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orkla ASA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orkla ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price kr 92.85, calculated fair value kr 126.18 (+36%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORK calculated?
We run Orkla ASA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 126.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Orkla ASA currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was kr 92.85. Our model-based fair value is kr 126.18, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orkla ASA right now?
Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 78.26 to kr 197.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Orkla ASA (ORK) come from?
Earnings per share at Orkla ASA grew +12.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin +1.0 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orkla ASA
How large is the market capitalisation of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The market capitalisation of Orkla ASA is 103B NOK (≈ $11.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orkla ASA is 2.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Earnings per share at Orkla ASA are kr 6.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The dividend yield of Orkla ASA is 4.3% (payout 62.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The net margin of Orkla ASA is 16.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orkla ASA is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orkla ASA is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orkla ASA (ORK)?
The operating margin of Orkla ASA is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Revenue at Orkla ASA is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orkla ASA (ORK)?
Earnings per share at Orkla ASA are growing −4.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Orkla ASA (ORK) carry?
The net debt of Orkla ASA is 12.4B NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 18, 2026