Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Orkla India Ltd ₹248, price ₹537, upside -53.9%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range ₹537.20 – ₹713.65 · fair‑value band ₹167.52 – ₹349.48 · the ₹537.20 price screens above the ₹247.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Orkla India Limited operates as a food company, manufactures and sells spices and convenience foods in India and internationally. It offers sambar, chicken, puliogare, rasam, and meat blended spice masala; and chilli, kashmiri chilli, turmeric, coriander, and cumin pure spices.
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Orkla India Limited operates as a food company, manufactures and sells spices and convenience foods in India and internationally. It offers sambar, chicken, puliogare, rasam, and meat blended spice masala; and chilli, kashmiri chilli, turmeric, coriander, and cumin pure spices. The company also provides ready-to-cook, such as breakfast, sweet, and badam milk beverage mixes; ready-to-eat, includes paneer butter masala, dal makhani, and chana masala, as well as various rice dishes such as veg pulao and tomato rice; vermicelli and macaroni; badam drink and coffee beverages, pickles, ginger garlic paste, malabar parotas, cooking aids, pulses, rice, coconut milk, desserts, and other confectionery items. It sells its products through e-commerce websites and commerce platform under the MTR, Eastern, Rasoi Magic, Wok N Roll, and Laban brand names. The company was formerly known as MTR Foods Private Limited. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Bengaluru, India. Orkla India Limited is a subsidiary of Orkla Asia Pacific Pte. Ltd.
Stock analysis
Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) currently trades at ₹537.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹247.62, 53.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ₹502.30 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹537.20 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹109.90, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹167.52 (bear) to ₹349.48 (bull), the price of ₹537.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Orkla India Ltd reported revenue of ₹25.1B in FY2026 versus ₹21.5B in FY2023, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.9B in FY2026, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap ₹73.8B (≈ $766M) · P/E ratio 25.0 · P/S ratio 2.85 · EPS (TTM) ₹21.49 · Dividend yield 8.3% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −54%, ORKLAINDIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹167.52Fair Value ₹247.62Bull ₹349.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹10.89 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.3%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 15%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.7% a year for the price and +4.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 622 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−53.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.0% · Above median
Return on assets6.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.0× · Pricier than median
P/B2.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.87× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF30.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)52· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)44· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orkla India Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORKLAINDIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹247.62 versus a price of ₹537.20, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORKLAINDIA?
Our model-based fair value for Orkla India Ltd is ₹247.62 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹537.20.
What is the quality score of ORKLAINDIA?
Orkla India Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹247.62 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹167.52, optimistic scenario ₹349.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orkla India Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹247.62, about −54% upside versus a price of ₹537.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹167.52, optimistic scenario ₹349.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Orkla India Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹25.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Orkla India Ltd pay a dividend?
Orkla India Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.26% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orkla India Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +25.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORKLAINDIA use?
Our models discount Orkla India Ltd at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orkla India Ltd that is +25.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Orkla India Ltd grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +25.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orkla India Ltd (+25.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.32 %: that much free cash flow Orkla India Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orkla India Ltd it is ₹247.62 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹537.20. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orkla India Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, ORKLAINDIA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹537.20, fair value ₹247.62, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORKLAINDIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹537.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹247.62). For Orkla India Ltd the two are ₹289.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orkla India Ltd worth?
The market values Orkla India Ltd at about ₹73.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹537.20; our models calculate a fair value of ₹247.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORKLAINDIA?
Our models span a range for Orkla India Ltd: cautious scenario ₹167.52, base ₹247.62, optimistic ₹349.48 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹537.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ORKLAINDIA?
Orkla India Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.0 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹247.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 17.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orkla India Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 11.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Orkla India Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orkla India Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹537.20, calculated fair value ₹247.62 (−54%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORKLAINDIA calculated?
We run Orkla India Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹247.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orkla India Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹537.20. Our model-based fair value is ₹247.62, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orkla India Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹349.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹167.52 to ₹349.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Orkla India Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The market capitalisation of Orkla India Ltd is ₹73.8B (≈ $766M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orkla India Ltd is 2.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Earnings per share at Orkla India Ltd are ₹21.49 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The dividend yield of Orkla India Ltd is 8.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The net margin of Orkla India Ltd is 11.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orkla India Ltd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orkla India Ltd is 8.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
The operating margin of Orkla India Ltd is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Revenue at Orkla India Ltd is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA)?
Earnings per share at Orkla India Ltd are growing +11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Orkla India Ltd (ORKLAINDIA) carry?
The net debt of Orkla India Ltd is ₹399M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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