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PTT Global Chemical Public Company (PCHUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.6B

PG PTT Global Chemical Public Company logo PTT Global Chemical Public Company PCHUY · US
Price$5.53
Fair Value$6.16
Upside+11.5%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.58% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.58 – $9.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $4.41 to $6.16 (+39.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.58 to $9.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $2.58 (bear) to $9.76 (bull), base $6.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.42 $2.26 Fair Value $6.16 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.26 – $12.42 · fair‑value band $2.58 – $9.76 · the $5.53 price screens below the $6.16 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PTT Global Chemical Public Company (PCHUY) currently trades at $5.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.16, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PTT Global Chemical Public Company generated revenue of $502B at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at $161B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.58 (bear case) to $9.76 (bull case); at $5.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 11%, PCHUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $81.77 $151.43 $263.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $57.70 $147.14 $255.11 74
Gordon GGM $23.50 $30.22 $36.89 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $74.57 $146.98 $272.35 38
5Y Revenue Exit $57.70 $143.36 $263.46 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.39 $113.71 $207.12 41
10Y Revenue Exit $57.36 $132.29 $218.41 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $52.17 $113.08 $181.53 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.50 $30.22 $36.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage $23.50 $31.56 $40.92 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $43.14 $103.39 $163.65 54
EV/Revenue $61.60 $146.98 $232.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $160.76 $215.42 $321.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $81.77 $151.43 $263.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $57.70 $147.14 $255.11 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($215.42) versus Dividend Discount ($30.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $502B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9%
Net margin -1.8%
Return on equity -3.7%
Free cash flow $19.7B FY2025
Operating margin 13.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3800
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -72.2%
Net debt $161B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others.

Full company description

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others. The company offers chemical products, such as petroleum, olefins, aromatics, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), EO-based performance, phenol, propylene oxide and polyols, acrylonitrile and methyl methacrylate, green chemicals, adhesives, coatings, and painting; and polymer products, including high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, metallocene polyethylene, low-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, polypropylene, polystyrene, post consumer recycled plastic, bioplastics, compound, and purging compound. It also provides logistics, jetty and chemical tank farm, pipeline infrastructure, utility, land and property management, and information and communication technology; plant maintenance and engineering design; quality safety, occupational health, environmental, and security services; management consultancy; social enterprise; liquidity management and financing vehicle; corporate venture capital investment; and outsourcing services. Its products are used in the film and flexible packaging, rigid packaging, construction, healthcare, agricultural, automotive parts, electronics and electrical appliances, home and personal care chemicals, energy saving solution, sustainable solution, and masterbatch. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PTT Global Chemical Public Company reported revenue of $488B in FY2025 versus $469B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.6B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$488B
Latest YoY
−19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+11.6%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 $469B
FY22 $684B
FY23 $622B
FY24 $609B
FY25 $488B
Net income
FY21 $45.0B
FY22 −$8.8B
FY23 $999M
FY24 −$29.8B
FY25 −$14.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTT Global Chemical Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCHUY

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 0
FUTURE 55 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%
Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR ₹1,662 ₹686.18 -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PTT Global Chemical Public Company (PCHUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.16 versus a price of $5.53, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PCHUY?
Our model-based fair value for PTT Global Chemical Public Company is $6.16 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.53.
What is the quality score of PCHUY?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PTT Global Chemical Public Company (PCHUY)?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $502B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PCHUY?
The net profit margin of PTT Global Chemical Public Company is about -1.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PTT Global Chemical Public Company pay a dividend?
PTT Global Chemical Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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