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PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of PTT Global Chemical PCL $8.82, price $6.73, upside +31.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · US · ADR · ISIN US69369V1017

PG PTT Global Chemical PCL logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

PTT Global Chemical PCL

PCHUY · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $8.82 · Undervalued (+31%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.58% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.42 $2.26 Fair Value $8.82 Aug 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.26 – $12.42 · fair‑value band $5.24 – $14.20 · the $6.73 price screens below the $8.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others.

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PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited operates as a chemical company in Thailand and internationally. It operates through six segments: Upstream, Intermediates, Polymers and Chemicals, Bio and Circularity, Performance Chemicals, and Service and Others. The company offers chemical products, such as petroleum, olefins, aromatics, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), EO-based performance, phenol, propylene oxide and polyols, acrylonitrile and methyl methacrylate, green chemicals, adhesives, coatings, and painting; and polymer products, including high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, metallocene polyethylene, low-density polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, polypropylene, polystyrene, post consumer recycled plastic, bioplastics, compound, and purging compound. It also provides logistics, jetty and chemical tank farm, pipeline infrastructure, utility, land and property management, and information and communication technology; plant maintenance and engineering design; quality safety, occupational health, environmental, and security services; management consultancy; social enterprise; liquidity management and financing vehicle; corporate venture capital investment; and outsourcing services. Its products are used in the film and flexible packaging, rigid packaging, construction, healthcare, agricultural, automotive parts, electronics and electrical appliances, home and personal care chemicals, energy saving solution, sustainable solution, and masterbatch. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR (PCHUY) currently trades at $6.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.82, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.85 per share, and 3 of the 12 models we run sit above the $6.73 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9615, and 9 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.24 (bear) to $14.20 (bull), the price of $6.73 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR reported revenue of 488B THB in FY2025 versus 469B THB in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −14.6B THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $6.1B · EPS (TTM) $−0.3800 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin 13.0% · Revenue (TTM) 502B THB.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 31%, PCHUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.24 Fair Value $8.82 Bull $14.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.75 $7.86 $13.26 76
Growth DCF $5.06 $8.06 $12.88 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.21 $4.60 $7.64 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.75 $7.86 $13.26 76
5Y Revenue Exit $2.76 $5.54 $9.43 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.21 $4.60 $7.64 70
10Y Revenue Exit $3.30 $5.83 $8.68 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.14 $5.22 $7.51 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7477 $0.9615 $1.17 67
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7477 $1.00 $1.30 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.37 $3.29 $5.21 63
EV/Revenue $1.96 $4.68 $7.39 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.11 $6.85 $10.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.06 $8.06 $12.88 75
Rev-Margin DCF $2.76 $5.71 $9.32 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.7% (2020) → −1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in THB, Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.9% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+18.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−0.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)0.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.5%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +57% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.49× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)55 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.90 SAR 24.66 SAR −49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.20 $21.03 −25%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.39 ¥16.17 −65%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,620 IDR 1,581 IDR −2%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%

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$8.82 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCHUY

Frequently asked questions

Is PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.82 versus a price of $6.73, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PCHUY?
Our model-based fair value for PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is $8.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.73.
What is the quality score of PCHUY?
PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.24, optimistic scenario $14.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.82, about +31% upside versus a price of $6.73 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.24, optimistic scenario $14.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 502B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR pay a dividend?
PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PCHUY use?
Our models discount PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR that is +4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR grew +8.2 % a year. The price currently implies +4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR (+4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.75 %: that much free cash flow PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR it is $8.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.73. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PCHUY trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.73, fair value $8.82, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCHUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.82). For PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR the two are $2.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR worth?
The market values PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR at about $6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.73; our models calculate a fair value of $8.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCHUY?
Our models span a range for PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR: cautious scenario $5.24, base $8.82, optimistic $14.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCHUY from its 52-week high?
PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR trades at $6.73, about 25% below its 52-week high of $9.00 and 69% above the low of $3.98 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.73, calculated fair value $8.82 (+31%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCHUY calculated?
We run PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $6.73. Our model-based fair value is $8.82, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($5.24 to $14.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The market capitalisation of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is $6.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Earnings per share at PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR are $−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The dividend yield of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The net margin of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is −3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
The operating margin of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Revenue at PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY)?
Earnings per share at PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PTT Global Chemical PCL (PCHUY) carry?
The net debt of PTT Global Chemical PCL ADR is 161B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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