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Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Perpetual Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000PEC9

PR Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Perpetual Resources Ltd

PEC · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0085 · Strongly overvalued (−43%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −28.4 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Insider activity 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1400 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0085 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.1400 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0170 · the A$0.0150 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Perpetual Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resources in Brazil and Western Australia. It also explores for lithium, niobium, tantalum, tin, silica sand, and rare earth elements. Perpetual Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0085 (bear) to A$0.0170 (bull), the price of A$0.0150 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Perpetual Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$15.3K in FY2024 versus A$81.1K in FY2019, a compound −28.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$904K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$16.3M (≈ $11.4M) · P/S ratio 85.4 · Return on equity −63.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.6% · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0% · Free cash flow −A$1.1M · Net cash A$826K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −43%, PEC screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−52.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.4%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−413.0% (2019) → −7,758.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PEC screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Above median
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.97× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 45.12× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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Perpetual Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0085 −76%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Perpetual Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PEC

Frequently asked questions

Is Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0150, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PEC?
Our model-based fair value for Perpetual Resources Ltd is A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0150.
What is the quality score of PEC?
Perpetual Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Perpetual Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0085, about −43% upside versus a price of A$0.0150 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Perpetual Resources Ltd it is A$0.0085 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0150. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Perpetual Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, PEC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0150, fair value A$0.0085, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0085). For Perpetual Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0065 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Perpetual Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Perpetual Resources Ltd at about A$16.3M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0150; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0085 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PEC?
Our models span a range for Perpetual Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0085, base A$0.0085, optimistic A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Perpetual Resources Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −63.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PEC from its 52-week high?
Perpetual Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0150, about 29% below its 52-week high of A$0.0210 and 88% above the low of A$0.0080 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0085 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Perpetual Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Perpetual Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0150, calculated fair value A$0.0085 (−43%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PEC calculated?
We run Perpetual Resources Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0085, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Perpetual Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0150. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0085, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Perpetual Resources Ltd right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0085 to A$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Perpetual Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
The market capitalisation of Perpetual Resources Ltd is A$16.3M (≈ $11.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Perpetual Resources Ltd is 85.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Perpetual Resources Ltd is −63.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Perpetual Resources Ltd is −38.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC)?
Revenue at Perpetual Resources Ltd is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC) generate?
The free cash flow of Perpetual Resources Ltd is −A$1.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Perpetual Resources Ltd (PEC) hold?
Perpetual Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$826K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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