Premier Foods PLC (PFD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Premier Foods PLC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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A solid business, trading 25% below our fair value of £2.59.
As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Premier Foods PLC is £2.59 per share against a price of £1.94, so the fair value sits 33% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.73% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
Evidence: HighRange £1.90 to £3.32
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from £2.58 to £2.59 (+0.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.8807 – £2.08 · fair‑value band £1.90 – £3.32 · the £1.94 price screens below the £2.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Premier Foods PLC (PFD) currently trades at £1.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.59, implying the stock looks roughly 24.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £2.70 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the £1.94 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.2800, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Premier Foods PLC generated revenue of £1.2B at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at £97.1M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Scenario range: £1.90 (bear) to £3.32 (bull), the price of £1.94 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 33%, PFD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0513 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio13.0
P/S ratio1.51P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)£0.1500price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.0
Dividend yield1.7%payout 22.4%
Net margin11.6%FY2026
Return on equity9.6%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)7.2%avg 5y
Operating margin19.0%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)£1.2BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+3.9%3y avg +5.3%
EPS growth (YoY)+6.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow134M GBXFY2026
Net debt97.1M GBXFY2026 · ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality67/100
Of which business quality 64
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Profitability42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance83
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments.
Full company description
Premier Foods plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells branded and own label food products in the United Kingdom, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through Grocery and Sweet Treats segments. The company's products portfolio categories include flavourings and seasonings under the Bisto, OXO, Paxo, SAXA, and Merchant Goumet brands; cooking sauces and accompaniments under the Sharwood's, Loyd Grossman, Homepride, and Spice Tailor brand names; quick and easy meals under the Batchelors, Nissin, FUEL10K, Merchant Goumet, and Sharwood's brands; ambient desserts under the Ambrosia, Bird's, Mr Kipling, and Angel Delight brands; and ambient cakes under the Mr Kipling and Cadbury brands. It also provides dumplings under the Atora brand name; plain flour under the Be-Ro brand; cup noodles under NISSIN brand; breakfast, such as granola, breakfast drinks, and porridge under FUEL10K and Ambrosia brands; and flour for baking under the McDougalls brand name. The company offers its products through supermarkets, discounters, convenience stores, and wholesale and food service operators, as well as e-commerce channels. Premier Foods plc was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Saint Albans, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Premier Foods PLC reported revenue of £1.2B in FY2026 versus £901M in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was £137M in FY2026, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2022.
Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£1.2B
Latest YoY
+2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+11.8%
Dividend yield1.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 11.8% vs 10Y 22.2%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16.1% (2021) → 17.6% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop1,445% (2011) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in GBP
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How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+33% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.95× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF17.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA8.5× · Pricier than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Premier Foods PLC deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE78· sector 23
FUTURE20· sector 20
PAST38· sector 29
HEALTH100· sector 96
DIVIDEND35· sector 53
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
Is Premier Foods PLC (PFD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.59 versus a price of £1.94, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PFD?
Our model-based fair value for Premier Foods PLC is £2.59 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.94.
What is the quality score of PFD?
Premier Foods PLC has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Premier Foods PLC (PFD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.59 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.90, optimistic scenario £3.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Premier Foods PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.59, about +33% upside versus a price of £1.94 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £1.90, optimistic scenario £3.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Premier Foods PLC (PFD)?
Premier Foods PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PFD?
The net profit margin of Premier Foods PLC is about 11.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Premier Foods PLC pay a dividend?
Premier Foods PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Premier Foods PLC (PFD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Premier Foods PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +1.4 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PFD use?
Our models discount Premier Foods PLC at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation, damped by beta 0.61, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Premier Foods PLC (PFD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Premier Foods PLC it is £2.59 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026), against a price of £1.94. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Premier Foods PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 5, 2026, PFD trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.94, fair value £2.59, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PFD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.59). For Premier Foods PLC the two are £0.6460 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Premier Foods PLC worth?
The market values Premier Foods PLC at about 1.7B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 5, 2026). Per share that is £1.94; our models calculate a fair value of £2.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PFD?
Our models span a range for Premier Foods PLC: cautious scenario £1.90, base £2.59, optimistic £3.32 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026, price £1.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PFD?
Premier Foods PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0 (as of Sep 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2.59 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Premier Foods PLC (PFD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Premier Foods PLC (as of Sep 5, 2026): return on equity 9.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Premier Foods PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Premier Foods PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 5, 2026: price £1.94, calculated fair value £2.59 (+33%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PFD calculated?
We run Premier Foods PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £2.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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