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Pfizer Inc (PFE) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $138B

PI Pfizer Inc logo Pfizer Inc PFE · US
Price$25.41
Fair Value$24.87
Upside-2.1%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
7.03% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $17.41 – $37.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.41 to $37.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.25 $19.80 Fair Value $24.87 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.80 – $48.25 · fair‑value band $17.41 – $37.49 · the $25.41 price screens above the $24.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Pfizer Inc (PFE) currently trades at $25.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.87, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pfizer Inc generated revenue of $63.3B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $66.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.41 (bear case) to $37.49 (bull case); at $25.41, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -2%, PFE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.26 $14.79 $25.22 80
Residual Income $13.10 $14.30 $17.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF $7.34 $17.39 $28.38 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.82 $15.04 $27.00 38
Owner Earnings $11.88 $22.51 $37.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.34 $17.28 $29.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.99 $34.69 $54.82 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.26 $17.14 $27.11 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.42 $15.32 $26.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.05 $27.18 $45.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.94 $15.23 $24.74 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.27 $23.81 $30.99 54
PEG = 1.0 $4.47 $6.38 $8.29 46
EPV $12.75 $16.62 $20.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.74 $30.84 $51.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.74 $24.07 $33.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.45 $27.27 $34.08 63
P/S Multiple $17.38 $23.18 $28.97 58
P/B Multiple $17.38 $23.18 $28.97 55
EV/EBIT $26.10 $38.28 $50.47 53
EV/EBITDA $27.22 $39.78 $52.34 54
EV/Revenue $8.75 $16.98 $25.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.59 $10.17 $15.17 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.26 $14.79 $25.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.34 $17.39 $28.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.10 $14.30 $17.89 76
ROIC Compounder $12.75 $17.26 $23.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.95 $22.79 $29.62 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($24.07) versus Asset-Based ($10.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $63.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow $9.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.8
More key figures
Operating margin 31.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.31
Dividend yield 6.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.1%
Net debt $66.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite.

Full company description

Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite. The company offers internal medicine products, including cardiovascular metabolic diseases products under the Eliquis brand; migraine products under the Nurtec ODT/Vydura and Zavzpret brand; vaccines under the Prevnar family, Abrysvo, Nimenrix, FSME/IMMUN-TicoVac, and Trumenba brands; and Paxlovid for the treatment of COVID-19. It also provides inflammation and immunology products, such as Xeljanz, Enbrel, Cibinqo, Litfulo, Eucrisa, and Velsipity; rare disease products for therapeutic areas comprising amyloidosis, hemophilia, and endocrine diseases under the Vyndaqel family, Genotropin, BeneFIX, Xyntha, Somavert, Ngenla, and Hympavzi brands; and anti-infective and immunoglobulin medicines under the Zavicefta, Octagam, and Panzyga brands. In addition, the company offers oncology products comprising ADCs, small molecules, bispecific, and other immunotherapies for the treatment of cancers, including breast cancer, genitourinary cancer, and hematologic malignancies, as well as melanoma, gastrointestinal, gynecological, and lung cancer under the Ibrance, Xtandi, Padcev, Adcetris, Inlyta, Lorbrena, Bosulif, Tukysa, Braftovi, Mektovi, Orgovyx, Elrexfio, Tivdak, and Talzenna brands. Further, it provides biosimilars under the Inflectra brand; oncology biosimilars comprising Retacrit, Ruxience, Zirabev, Trazimera and Nivestym, and other biosimilars; and sterile injectables, such as Sulperazon, Atgam, Fragmin, Solu Medrol, Solu Cortef, and Bicillin. The company has collaboration agreements with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Astellas Pharma US, Inc.; Merck KGaA; and BioNTech SE, as well as a strategic collaboration with Boltz, PBC to develop and deploy biomolecular AI foundation models. Pfizer Inc. was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pfizer Inc reported revenue of $62.6B in FY2025 versus $81.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8B in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$62.6B
Latest YoY
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.1%
Revenue −6.3%/yr
FY21 $81.3B
FY22 $100B
FY23 $59.6B
FY24 $63.6B
FY25 $62.6B
Net income −23.0%/yr
FY21 $22.1B
FY22 $31.4B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $8.0B
FY25 $7.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pfizer Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PFE

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 74 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 15.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.86× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 3
FUTURE 27 · sector 24
PAST 33 · sector 52
HEALTH 65 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 48

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $253.85 $169.04 -33%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €377.80 €280.03 -26%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD $134.28 $146.50 +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pfizer Inc (PFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.87 versus a price of $25.41, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PFE?
Our model-based fair value for Pfizer Inc is $24.87 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $25.41.
What is the quality score of PFE?
Pfizer Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Pfizer Inc (PFE)?
Pfizer Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $63.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PFE?
The net profit margin of Pfizer Inc is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pfizer Inc pay a dividend?
Pfizer Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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