Pfizer Inc (PFE) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $138B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($17.41 to $37.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.80 – $48.25 · fair‑value band $17.41 – $37.49 · the $25.41 price screens above the $24.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Pfizer Inc (PFE) currently trades at $25.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.87, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pfizer Inc generated revenue of $63.3B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $66.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.41 (bear case) to $37.49 (bull case); at $25.41, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -2%, PFE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($24.07) versus Asset-Based ($10.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite.
Full company description
Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite. The company offers internal medicine products, including cardiovascular metabolic diseases products under the Eliquis brand; migraine products under the Nurtec ODT/Vydura and Zavzpret brand; vaccines under the Prevnar family, Abrysvo, Nimenrix, FSME/IMMUN-TicoVac, and Trumenba brands; and Paxlovid for the treatment of COVID-19. It also provides inflammation and immunology products, such as Xeljanz, Enbrel, Cibinqo, Litfulo, Eucrisa, and Velsipity; rare disease products for therapeutic areas comprising amyloidosis, hemophilia, and endocrine diseases under the Vyndaqel family, Genotropin, BeneFIX, Xyntha, Somavert, Ngenla, and Hympavzi brands; and anti-infective and immunoglobulin medicines under the Zavicefta, Octagam, and Panzyga brands. In addition, the company offers oncology products comprising ADCs, small molecules, bispecific, and other immunotherapies for the treatment of cancers, including breast cancer, genitourinary cancer, and hematologic malignancies, as well as melanoma, gastrointestinal, gynecological, and lung cancer under the Ibrance, Xtandi, Padcev, Adcetris, Inlyta, Lorbrena, Bosulif, Tukysa, Braftovi, Mektovi, Orgovyx, Elrexfio, Tivdak, and Talzenna brands. Further, it provides biosimilars under the Inflectra brand; oncology biosimilars comprising Retacrit, Ruxience, Zirabev, Trazimera and Nivestym, and other biosimilars; and sterile injectables, such as Sulperazon, Atgam, Fragmin, Solu Medrol, Solu Cortef, and Bicillin. The company has collaboration agreements with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Astellas Pharma US, Inc.; Merck KGaA; and BioNTech SE, as well as a strategic collaboration with Boltz, PBC to develop and deploy biomolecular AI foundation models. Pfizer Inc. was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pfizer Inc reported revenue of $62.6B in FY2025 versus $81.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8B in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - General · 74 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,182 | $396.77 | -66% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $253.85 | $169.04 | -33% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $254.49 | $67.72 | -73% |
| Roche Holding 1RO | €377.80 | €280.03 | -26% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €108.08 | €121.54 | +12% |
| Novartis AG NVSN | 2,742 MXN | 2,379 MXN | -13% |
| AstraZeneca PLC AZN | $171.61 | $129.54 | -25% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 329.90 | kr 409.46 | +24% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $363.39 | $252.02 | -31% |
| Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD | $134.28 | $146.50 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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