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Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Petrolimex Insurance Corp VND 14,441, price VND 22,000, upside -34.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · VN · ISIN VN000000PGI2

PI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Petrolimex Insurance Corp

PGI · VN

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 14,441 VND · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

29,192 VND 8,794 VND Fair Value 14,441 VND Apr 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8,794 VND – 29,192 VND · fair‑value band 13,423 VND – 15,724 VND · the 22,000 VND price screens above the 14,441 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Petrolimex Insurance Corporation provides various insurance products in Vietnam. Its business includes direct insurance, reinsurance, loss assessment, investment, and other activities. The company offers motor vehicle, health, property and mixed, engineering, marine, and aviation insurance products.

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Petrolimex Insurance Corporation provides various insurance products in Vietnam. Its business includes direct insurance, reinsurance, loss assessment, investment, and other activities. The company offers motor vehicle, health, property and mixed, engineering, marine, and aviation insurance products. It also provides business interruption, public and product liability, professional liability, and fire and explosion insurance products. Petrolimex Insurance Corporation was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI) currently trades at 22,000 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14,441 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 52.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 24,658 VND per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 22,000 VND price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11,801 VND, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 13,423 VND (bear) to 15,724 VND (bull), the price of 22,000 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Petrolimex Insurance Corp reported revenue of 5.3T VND in FY2025 versus 4.1T VND in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 246B VND in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.4T VND · P/E ratio 9.7 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) 2,266 VND · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets 2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −34%, PGI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13,423 VND Fair Value 14,441 VND Bull 15,724 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,664 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 14,971 VND 16,662 VND 22,187 VND 76
Gordon GGM 8,367 VND 14,014 VND 18,189 VND 68
DDM Multi-Stage 8,367 VND 12,935 VND 15,077 VND 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8,367 VND 14,014 VND 18,189 VND 68
DDM Multi-Stage 8,367 VND 12,935 VND 15,077 VND 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 21,589 VND 28,785 VND 35,981 VND 63
P/B Multiple 18,493 VND 24,658 VND 30,822 VND 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8,806 VND 11,801 VND 17,613 VND 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14,971 VND 16,662 VND 22,187 VND 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%

PGI screens 52% overvalued. Compare with The Progressive Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Property & Casualty · 119 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)65 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)52 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $206.94 $160.25 −23%
Chubb Limited CB $335.21 $234.73 −30%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $360.39 $274.42 −24%
The Allstate Corporation ALL $225.66 $316.11 +40%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥8.07 ¥9.25 +15%
PICC Property and Casualty Company 2328 HK$16.84 HK$18.92 +12%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$254.29 C$167.46 −34%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,223 C$3,241 +46%
Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF $162.57 $146.70 −10%
W. R. Berkley Corporation WRB $67.67 $47.08 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrolimex Insurance Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGI

Frequently asked questions

Is Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14,441 VND versus a price of 22,000 VND, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PGI?
Our model-based fair value for Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 14,441 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22,000 VND.
What is the quality score of PGI?
Petrolimex Insurance Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14,441 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13,423 VND, optimistic scenario 15,724 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrolimex Insurance Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14,441 VND, about −34% upside versus a price of 22,000 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 13,423 VND, optimistic scenario 15,724 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Petrolimex Insurance Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Petrolimex Insurance Corp pay a dividend?
Petrolimex Insurance Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrolimex Insurance Corp it is 14,441 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 22,000 VND. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petrolimex Insurance Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PGI trades above its calculated fair value: price 22,000 VND, fair value 14,441 VND, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22,000 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14,441 VND). For Petrolimex Insurance Corp the two are 7,559 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrolimex Insurance Corp worth?
The market values Petrolimex Insurance Corp at about 2.4T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 22,000 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 14,441 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGI?
Our models span a range for Petrolimex Insurance Corp: cautious scenario 13,423 VND, base 14,441 VND, optimistic 15,724 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 22,000 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PGI?
Petrolimex Insurance Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 14,441 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrolimex Insurance Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGI from its 52-week high?
Petrolimex Insurance Corp trades at 22,000 VND, about 6% below its 52-week high of 23,450 VND and 30% above the low of 16,900 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14,441 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrolimex Insurance Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value The Progressive Corporation, Chubb Limited, The Travelers Companies, Inc, The Allstate Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrolimex Insurance Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 22,000 VND, calculated fair value 14,441 VND (−34%), Quality Score 51/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGI calculated?
We run Petrolimex Insurance Corp through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14,441 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Petrolimex Insurance Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 22,000 VND. Our model-based fair value is 14,441 VND, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrolimex Insurance Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15,724 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Petrolimex Insurance Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The market capitalisation of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 2.4T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Earnings per share at Petrolimex Insurance Corp are 2,266 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The dividend yield of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 7.1% (payout 68.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The net margin of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
The operating margin of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Revenue at Petrolimex Insurance Corp is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI)?
Earnings per share at Petrolimex Insurance Corp are growing +8.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI) generate?
The free cash flow of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is −23.1B VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Petrolimex Insurance Corp (PGI) carry?
The net debt of Petrolimex Insurance Corp is 804B VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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