Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc (PGNN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $59.8M

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($16.64). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.11 – $14.60 · fair‑value band $16.64 – $27.73 · the $14.60 price screens below the $22.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc (PGNN) currently trades at $14.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.18, implying the stock looks roughly 51.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc generated revenue of $36.7M at a net margin of 21.2%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. Net debt stands at $42.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.64 (bear case) to $27.73 (bull case); at $14.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 52%, PGNN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($21.18) versus Asset-Based ($10.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc., through its subsidiary, Paragon Bank, provides various banking products and services to individuals, and small and mid-sized businesses in the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and IRAs.

Full company description

Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc., through its subsidiary, Paragon Bank, provides various banking products and services to individuals, and small and mid-sized businesses in the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking accounts, savings accounts, money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and IRAs. The company also provides commercial loan products comprising working capital loans, accounts receivable/inventory lines of credit, equipment financing, commercial auto/truck financing, business acquisition financing, letters of credit, SBA/USDA lending, and owner-and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans; and mortgage loans, such as purchase, refinance, conventional mortgage, federal housing administration, veterans affairs, affordable home, home equity, and medical specialist loans. In addition, it offers private banking services, such as depository and personal financial services, as well as special purchases, residential mortgages, home equity, construction and renovation, and vacation and second homes loan and credit services; cash management solutions consisting of liquidity, fraud prevention, and payables and receivables management; and wealth solutions, including equities, mutual funds, bonds, and annuity products and services. Further, the company provides insurance solutions, such as property, general liability, group medical plans, long and short-term disability, professional liability, workers compensation, truckers/cargo, auto, home, umbrella, aviation, and surety bonds, as well as employee dental, vision, and life insurance. It also offers mobile, online, phone, and internet banking services. The company operates approximately 150 ATM locations in the Memphis metro area. Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Paragon Financial Solutions, Inc reported revenue of $58.3M in FY2025 versus $22.2M in FY2021, a compound +27.2%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.