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Photocure ASA (PHO) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · NO · Market cap 1.6B NOK

PA Photocure ASA PHO · OL
Pricekr 52.60
Fair Valuekr 23.58
Upside-55.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 13.87 – kr 27.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −10.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 27.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 13.87 to kr 27.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 150.90 kr 40.85 Fair Value kr 23.58 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 40.85 – kr 150.90 · fair‑value band kr 13.87 – kr 27.36 · the kr 52.60 price screens above the kr 23.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Photocure ASA (PHO) currently trades at kr 52.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 23.58, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Photocure ASA generated revenue of 672M NOK at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 111.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 225M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 13.87 (bear case) to kr 27.36 (bull case); at kr 52.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -55%, PHO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 7.45 kr 9.26 kr 11.79 80
Gordon GGM kr 12.40 kr 22.35 kr 30.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 12.40 kr 20.42 kr 23.88 61
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 7.53 kr 9.14 kr 12.83 38
Owner Earnings kr 8.41 kr 11.21 kr 15.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 7.20 kr 8.83 kr 11.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 12.95 kr 21.63 kr 33.38 41
10Y Revenue Exit kr 7.23 kr 8.80 kr 11.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 10.89 kr 17.75 kr 29.73 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 12.40 kr 22.35 kr 30.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 12.40 kr 20.42 kr 23.88 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 16.55 kr 20.33 kr 24.11 54
EV/Revenue kr 7.01 kr 7.78 kr 8.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 9.10 kr 12.19 kr 18.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 7.45 kr 9.26 kr 11.79 80

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (kr 20.42) versus Multiples (kr 7.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 672M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) +111%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 16.1%
Free cash flow 5.3M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 19.7
More key figures
Operating margin 45.6%
EPS (TTM) kr 3.15
EPS growth (YoY) -60.0%
Net cash 225M NOK FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Photocure ASA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, distribution, marketing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through two segments, Commercial Franchise and Development Portfolio. The company offers Hexvix/Cysview for the detection and management of bladder cancer.

Full company description

Photocure ASA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, distribution, marketing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through two segments, Commercial Franchise and Development Portfolio. The company offers Hexvix/Cysview for the detection and management of bladder cancer. It is also developing Cevira, a photodynamic drug-device combination product candidate for the non-surgical treatment of high-grade cervical dysplasia. The company has a license agreement with Asieris MediTech Co to develop and commercialize Cevira; and a strategic agreement with Richard Wolf GmbH to develop and commercialize a 4K LED high-definition reusable blue light cystoscope based on Richard Wolf's System blue technology. It sells its products to pharmaceutical wholesalers, pharmacies, and hospitals through license partners. The company operates in the Nordic countries, Germany, France, Austria, the United Kingdom, the Benelux, Italy, other European countries, Canada, and the United States. Photocure ASA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Photocure ASA reported revenue of kr 533M in FY2025 versus kr 361M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 1.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
533M NOK
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.7%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 kr 361M
FY22 kr 393M
FY23 kr 501M
FY24 kr 525M
FY25 kr 533M
Net income
FY21 −kr 30.9M
FY22 −kr 71.9M
FY23 kr 979K
FY24 −kr 3.3M
FY25 −kr 1.5M

PHO screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Photocure ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PHO

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 623 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 111% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.34× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 31.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 14.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 64 · sector 24
HEALTH 90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Photocure ASA (PHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 23.58 versus a price of kr 52.60, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PHO?
Our model-based fair value for Photocure ASA is kr 23.58 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 52.60.
What is the quality score of PHO?
Photocure ASA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Photocure ASA (PHO)?
Photocure ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 672M NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PHO?
The net profit margin of Photocure ASA is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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