The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of The Phosphate Company Ltd ₹175, price ₹144, upside +21.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹29.30 – ₹218.15 · fair‑value band ₹127.60 – ₹227.90 · the ₹144.00 price screens below the ₹175.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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The Phosphate Company Limited manufactures and trades in farm inputs in India. It operates through Fertiliser (P&K) and Others segment. The company offers single super phosphate fertilizer under the Lakshmi brand, as well as crop protection, specialty nutrients, acids, and organic compost products.
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The Phosphate Company Limited manufactures and trades in farm inputs in India. It operates through Fertiliser (P&K) and Others segment. The company offers single super phosphate fertilizer under the Lakshmi brand, as well as crop protection, specialty nutrients, acids, and organic compost products. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) currently trades at ₹144.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹175.31, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹547.17 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹144.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹156.90, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹127.60 (bear) to ₹227.90 (bull), the price of ₹144.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
The Phosphate Company Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.5B in FY2026 versus ₹1.2B in FY2022, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹45.2M in FY2026, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹519M (≈ $5.4M) · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.61 · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 22%, PHOSPHATE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹127.60Fair Value ₹175.31Bull ₹227.90
Price ₹144.00 · Upside +21.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.95 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 6%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.7% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 170 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+21.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets4.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Phosphate Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PHOSPHATE
Frequently asked questions
Is The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹175.31 versus a price of ₹144.00, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PHOSPHATE?
Our model-based fair value for The Phosphate Company Ltd is ₹175.31 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹144.00.
What is the quality score of PHOSPHATE?
The Phosphate Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹175.31 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹127.60, optimistic scenario ₹227.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Phosphate Company Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹175.31, about +22% upside versus a price of ₹144.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹127.60, optimistic scenario ₹227.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The Phosphate Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Phosphate Company Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -13.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.1 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PHOSPHATE use?
Our models discount The Phosphate Company Ltd at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Phosphate Company Ltd that is -13.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at The Phosphate Company Ltd grew +19.1 % a year. The price currently implies -13.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Phosphate Company Ltd (-13.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.48 %: that much free cash flow The Phosphate Company Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Phosphate Company Ltd it is ₹175.31 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹144.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Phosphate Company Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, PHOSPHATE trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹144.00, fair value ₹175.31, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PHOSPHATE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹144.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹175.31). For The Phosphate Company Ltd the two are ₹31.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Phosphate Company Ltd worth?
The market values The Phosphate Company Ltd at about ₹519M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹144.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹175.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PHOSPHATE?
Our models span a range for The Phosphate Company Ltd: cautious scenario ₹127.60, base ₹175.31, optimistic ₹227.90 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹144.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PHOSPHATE?
The Phosphate Company Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹175.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Phosphate Company Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PHOSPHATE from its 52-week high?
The Phosphate Company Ltd trades at ₹144.00, about 9% below its 52-week high of ₹159.00 and 11% above the low of ₹130.10 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹175.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Phosphate Company Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Phosphate Company Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹144.00, calculated fair value ₹175.31 (+22%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PHOSPHATE calculated?
We run The Phosphate Company Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹175.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. The Phosphate Company Ltd currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹144.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹175.31, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Phosphate Company Ltd right now?
Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of The Phosphate Company Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The market capitalisation of The Phosphate Company Ltd is ₹519M (≈ $5.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Phosphate Company Ltd is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Earnings per share at The Phosphate Company Ltd are ₹11.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The net margin of The Phosphate Company Ltd is 3.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Phosphate Company Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Phosphate Company Ltd is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The operating margin of The Phosphate Company Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Revenue at The Phosphate Company Ltd is growing +39.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
Earnings per share at The Phosphate Company Ltd are growing −41.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) carry?
The net debt of The Phosphate Company Ltd is ₹146M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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