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The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹574M

TP The Phosphate Company Ltd PHOSPHATE · BSE
Price₹140.00
Fair Value₹170.13
Upside+21.5%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ₹127.60 – ₹212.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹250.63 to ₹170.13 (−32.1%) since Aug 12, 2026.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from ₹127.60 (bear) to ₹212.67 (bull), base ₹170.13. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹218.15 ₹29.30 Fair Value ₹170.13 Feb 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹29.30 – ₹218.15 · fair‑value band ₹127.60 – ₹212.67 · the ₹140.00 price screens below the ₹170.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) currently trades at ₹140.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹170.13, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Phosphate Company Ltd generated revenue of ₹1.5B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at ₹146M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹127.60 (bear case) to ₹212.67 (bull case); at ₹140.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 22%, PHOSPHATE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹429.96 ₹695.97 ₹1,083 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹298.42 ₹479.49 ₹716.73 74
ROIC Compounder ₹153.29 ₹174.51 ₹192.19 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹438.04 ₹744.17 ₹1,220 38
Owner Earnings ₹153.42 ₹261.69 ₹429.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹298.42 ₹479.79 ₹719.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹275.21 ₹431.45 ₹620.31 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹251.98 ₹383.08 ₹527.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹340.25 ₹522.31 ₹790.12 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹332.61 ₹489.76 ₹713.80 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹318.47 ₹457.18 ₹642.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹85.22 ₹410.97 ₹565.90 54
Lynch FV ₹109.83 ₹156.90 ₹203.97 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹109.83 ₹156.90 ₹203.97 46
EPV ₹153.29 ₹174.51 ₹192.19 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹159.78 ₹213.04 ₹266.30 63
P/S Multiple ₹159.78 ₹213.04 ₹266.30 58
P/B Multiple ₹159.78 ₹213.04 ₹266.30 55
EV/EBIT ₹256.22 ₹342.40 ₹428.59 53
EV/EBITDA ₹197.61 ₹264.26 ₹330.91 54
EV/Revenue ₹221.74 ₹317.78 ₹413.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹127.76 ₹171.20 ₹255.53 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹429.96 ₹695.97 ₹1,083 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹298.42 ₹479.49 ₹716.73 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹183.57 ₹180.78 ₹159.14 61
ROIC Compounder ₹153.29 ₹174.51 ₹192.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹153.66 ₹219.52 ₹285.38 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹479.49) versus Earnings-Based (₹156.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 5.0%
Free cash flow ₹148M FY2026
P/E ratio 11.2
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹12.53
EPS growth (YoY) -12.1%
Net debt ₹146M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Phosphate Company Limited manufactures and trades in farm inputs in India. It operates through Fertiliser (P&K) and Others segment. The company offers single super phosphate fertilizer under the Lakshmi brand, as well as crop protection, specialty nutrients, acids, and organic compost products.

Full company description

The Phosphate Company Limited manufactures and trades in farm inputs in India. It operates through Fertiliser (P&K) and Others segment. The company offers single super phosphate fertilizer under the Lakshmi brand, as well as crop protection, specialty nutrients, acids, and organic compost products. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is based in Kolkata, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

The Phosphate Company Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.5B in FY2026 versus ₹1.2B in FY2022, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹45.2M in FY2026, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.5B
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY22 ₹1.2B
FY23 ₹1.5B
FY24 ₹1.1B
FY25 ₹1.3B
FY26 ₹1.5B
Net income +13.2%/yr
FY22 ₹27.5M
FY23 ₹47.0M
FY24 ₹20.2M
FY25 ₹34.6M
FY26 ₹45.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Phosphate Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PHOSPHATE

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE62 · sector 22
FUTURE63 · sector 41
PAST20 · sector 24
HEALTH95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $76.22 $27.81 -64%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$93.60 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥27.65 ¥21.26 -23%
CF Industries Holdings CF $120.01 $161.00 +34%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 437.20 kr 630.39 +44%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥29.82 ¥42.12 +41%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥45.86 ¥38.01 -17%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,039 ₹817.06 -60%
UPL Limited UPL ₹568.00 ₹387.06 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹170.13 versus a price of ₹140.00, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PHOSPHATE?
Our model-based fair value for The Phosphate Company Ltd is ₹170.13 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹140.00.
What is the quality score of PHOSPHATE?
The Phosphate Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Phosphate Company Ltd (PHOSPHATE)?
The Phosphate Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PHOSPHATE?
The net profit margin of The Phosphate Company Ltd is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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