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Yunnan Yuntianhua Co (600096) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 54.9B CNY

YY Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 · SHG
Price¥30.10
Fair Value¥42.12
Upside+39.9%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥30.60 – ¥65.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 40% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥30.60 to ¥65.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥44.55 ¥6.44 Fair Value ¥42.12 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.44 – ¥44.55 · fair‑value band ¥30.60 – ¥65.64 · the ¥30.10 price screens below the ¥42.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co (600096) currently trades at ¥30.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.12, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Yuntianhua Co generated revenue of 47.4B CNY at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.7%. Net debt stands at 7.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥30.60 (bear case) to ¥65.64 (bull case); at ¥30.10, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 40%, 600096 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥47.50 ¥84.70 ¥148.88 80
Residual Income ¥17.96 ¥22.52 ¥70.82 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥34.38 ¥57.82 ¥88.74 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥48.08 ¥89.29 ¥162.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥44.63 ¥82.87 ¥151.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥34.38 ¥58.24 ¥90.52 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥39.58 ¥69.16 ¥106.41 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥38.37 ¥66.60 ¥99.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥37.58 ¥62.05 ¥99.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥42.03 ¥70.14 ¥113.08 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥41.21 ¥68.24 ¥106.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥19.23 ¥94.91 ¥130.87 54
Lynch FV ¥25.56 ¥36.51 ¥47.47 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥25.56 ¥36.51 ¥47.47 46
EPV ¥26.51 ¥30.87 ¥34.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥14.73 ¥30.62 ¥48.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥14.73 ¥25.82 ¥32.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥36.06 ¥48.08 ¥60.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥29.80 ¥39.74 ¥49.67 58
P/B Multiple ¥30.34 ¥40.45 ¥50.57 55
EV/EBIT ¥34.94 ¥46.46 ¥57.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥38.36 ¥51.01 ¥63.67 54
EV/Revenue ¥28.20 ¥40.12 ¥52.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.74 ¥9.03 ¥13.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥47.50 ¥84.70 ¥148.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥34.38 ¥57.82 ¥88.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥17.96 ¥22.52 ¥70.82 76
ROIC Compounder ¥30.45 ¥41.32 ¥55.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥35.34 ¥50.49 ¥65.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥68.24) versus Asset-Based (¥9.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 47.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.1%
Net margin 11.2%
Return on equity 20.7%
Free cash flow 6.6B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2
More key figures
Operating margin 14.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.90
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.4%
Net debt 7.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fertilizers in China and internationally.

Full company description

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fertilizers in China and internationally. It offers phosphate, commercial, and compound fertilizers; commercial grain; urea; polyoxymethylene; coal; feed grade calcium phosphate; phosphate rock; phosphoric acid; liquid ammonia; pentaerythritol; and other chemical raw materials and products. The company is also involved in phosphate mining and beneficiation; and commerce and logistics. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Kunming, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunnan Yuntianhua Co reported revenue of ¥48.3B in FY2025 versus ¥64.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.2B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
48.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+16.3%
Revenue −6.8%/yr
FY21 ¥64.1B
FY22 ¥75.3B
FY23 ¥69.1B
FY24 ¥61.5B
FY25 ¥48.3B
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.6B
FY22 ¥6.0B
FY23 ¥4.5B
FY24 ¥5.3B
FY25 ¥5.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600096

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +40% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 87 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 37
PAST 83 · sector 24
HEALTH 91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 95 · sector 33

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%
PI Industries Limited PIIND ₹2,624 ₹1,345 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Yuntianhua Co (600096) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥42.12 versus a price of ¥30.10, about +40% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600096?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Yuntianhua Co is ¥42.12 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥30.10.
What is the quality score of 600096?
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Yuntianhua Co (600096)?
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 47.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600096?
The net profit margin of Yunnan Yuntianhua Co is about 11.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yunnan Yuntianhua Co pay a dividend?
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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