UPL Limited (UPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹503B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ₹713.94 to ₹387.06 (−45.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹483.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹447.03 – ₹810.83 · fair‑value band ₹334.80 – ₹483.82 · the ₹573.00 price screens above the ₹387.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
UPL Limited (UPL) currently trades at ₹573.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹387.06, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, UPL Limited generated revenue of ₹518B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at ₹175B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹334.80 (bear case) to ₹483.82 (bull case); at ₹573.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -32%, UPL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,162) versus Dividend Discount (₹97.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UPL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pesticides, insecticides, and micronutrients in India, Brazil, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Crop Protection, Seeds, and Non-Agro.
Full company description
UPL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pesticides, insecticides, and micronutrients in India, Brazil, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Crop Protection, Seeds, and Non-Agro. The company offers herbicides, fungicides, insecticides, acaricides, seed treatment, adjuvants, bio-solutions, public health products, fumigants, soil and water technologies, agrochemical products, and other agricultural related products under the Feroce, Shenzi, Winger, and Evolution brands, as well as ProNutiva, a solution for crop protection. It also provides seeds for vegetables and crops, such as grain sorghum, forage, corn, canola, sunflower, rice, wheats, and soyas, as well as other crops, including pearl millets, biofumingants, oats, mustards, and alfalfas under the Advanta, Alta Seeds, Pacific Seeds, and Hannaford brands. In addition, the company offers industrial and specialty chemicals, such as phosphorus, cynation, phosgenation, and acrolein; other non-agricultural related products; post-harvest solutions; farmer education and engagement; environmental electronics; and apiculture services, as well as operates nurture.farm, a digital platform for growers, farming communities, and food systems. It serves input suppliers, distributors, farmers, food wholesalers/traders, food manufacturers, food retailers, consumers, industry associations, media, cooperatives, government, restaurants, agriculture chemical distributors, and non-government organisations. The company exports its products. The company was formerly known as United Phosphorus Limited and changed its name to UPL Limited in October 2013. UPL Limited was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
UPL Limited reported revenue of ₹518B in FY2026 versus ₹460B in FY2022, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.2B in FY2026, compounding −14.7%/yr from FY2022.
UPL screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| PI Industries Limited PIIND | ₹2,624 | ₹1,345 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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