Pekin Life Insurance Company (PKIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $192M
Pekin Life Insurance Company
PKIN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.90 to $7.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.05 – $12.97 · fair‑value band $3.90 – $7.80 · the $11.75 price screens above the $5.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Pekin Life Insurance Company (PKIN) currently trades at $11.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.23, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.9M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.90 (bear case) to $7.80 (bull case); at $11.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -55%, PKIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($5.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pekin Life Insurance Company operates as a life and accident, and health insurance company in the United States. The company offers auto and home insurance products; pre-need life insurance; life insurance products, annuities, and funeral preplanning products; health insurance products; and business insurance products, including business auto, business …
Full company description
Pekin Life Insurance Company operates as a life and accident, and health insurance company in the United States. The company offers auto and home insurance products; pre-need life insurance; life insurance products, annuities, and funeral preplanning products; health insurance products; and business insurance products, including business auto, business property, general liability, and workers' compensation insurance products. It also provides group life, dental, accidental death and dismemberment, and short-term disability, as well as voluntary products and medicare supplement insurance. It sells its insurance products primarily through independent agents. Pekin Life Insurance Company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Pekin, Illinois. Pekin Life Insurance Company operates as a subsidiary of Farmers Automobile Insurance Association.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pekin Life Insurance Company reported revenue of −$77.4M in FY2025 versus $259M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$1.4M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −0.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PKIN screens 55% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 95 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥38.72 | ¥70.87 | +83% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥49.60 | ¥96.76 | +95% |
| AIA Group 1299 | HK$75.55 | HK$7.88 | -90% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation MFC | C$58.52 | C$45.13 | -23% |
| Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO | C$92.34 | C$59.64 | -35% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹438.30 | ₹590.43 | +35% |
| Fubon Financial Holding 2881 | 124.50 TWD | 115.05 TWD | -8% |
| Cathay Financial Holding 2882 | 94.00 TWD | 94.95 TWD | +1% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 337,500 KRW | 166,710 KRW | -51% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥29.75 | ¥59.50 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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