PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, (PKPK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 3.9T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +21.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,386 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (337.71 IDR to 1,386 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 3,950 IDR · fair‑value band 337.71 IDR – 1,386 IDR · the 3,860 IDR price screens above the 450.28 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, (PKPK) currently trades at 3,860 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 450.28 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, generated revenue of 888B IDR at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 239.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 31.4B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 337.71 IDR (bear case) to 1,386 IDR (bull case); at 3,860 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -88%, PKPK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,319 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (83.84 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides oil and gas supporting construction services in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides oil and gas supporting construction services in Indonesia. The company also offers civil construction for mining, geothermal, bridges, overpasses, flyovers, underpasses, clean water treatment facilities, water resource infrastructure, as well as solid, liquid, and gas waste treatment infrastructure and system; and oil and gas, electricity, instrumentation and mechanical installation services. In addition, it engages in residential, office, industrial, other building, and prefabricated building construction services; civil road construction; civil electrical construction; irrigation and drainage network, civil electrical building, and telecommunications central construction; and construction of irrigation, communication, and other waste networks. Further, the company provides non-fishing port construction; dredging, demolition, and painting services; prefabricated civil construction services; flooring, wall, sanitary equipment, and ceiling works; and electrical, telecommunications, electronics, plumbing, heating and geothermal, air conditioning and ventilation, foundation and piling, scaffolding, trusses, frame and roof covering, steel frame, and other installation services. Additionally, it engages in the provision of management consulting, as well as coal mining, mining, and support services; leasing equipment as well as operational support, maintenance and supply of various spare parts for light and heavy vehicles; business land preparation; wholesale trading of various goods; installation and maintenance of oil and gas pipelines; and earthworks. The company was formerly known as PT Perdana Karya Perkasa Tbk and changed its name to PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk in June 2025. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Deli Putra Bangsa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Paragon Karya Perkasa Tbk, reported revenue of 749B IDR in FY2025 versus 3.1B IDR in FY2021, a compound +295.0%/yr. Reported net income was 38.6B IDR in FY2025.
PKPK screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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