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Premium Group (PMMFF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $564M

PG Premium Group logo Premium Group PMMFF · US
Price$12.99
Fair Value$6.30
Upside-51.5%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
2.52% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/10)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $6.30 – $18.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $6.40 to $6.30 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −10.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.30 to $18.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (17 months)

$14.51 $12.99 Fair Value $6.30 Mar 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range $12.99 – $14.51 · fair‑value band $6.30 – $18.25 · the $12.99 price screens above the $6.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Premium Group (PMMFF) currently trades at $12.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.30, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Premium Group generated revenue of $44.0B at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 41.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.5%. Net debt stands at $34.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.30 (bear case) to $18.25 (bull case); at $12.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -52%, PMMFF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $1,795 $2,393 $2,991 63
Residual Income $685.71 $924.31 $4,045 61
P/B Multiple $1,095 $1,460 $1,826 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $711.53 $2,221 $4,881 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $813.63 $5,148 $7,193 54
Lynch FV $1,487 $2,124 $2,761 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,795 $2,393 $2,991 63
P/B Multiple $1,095 $1,460 $1,826 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $243.41 $326.16 $486.81 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $685.71 $924.31 $4,045 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2,221) versus Asset-Based ($326.16). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $44.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.2%
Net margin 13.8%
Return on equity 27.5%
Free cash flow −$9.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 17.1
More key figures
Operating margin 21.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.8500
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +262%
Net debt $34.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Premium Group Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of financing and services worldwide. The company operates through Finance Business, Automobile Warranty Business, and Auto Mobility Services Business segments.

Full company description

Premium Group Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of financing and services worldwide. The company operates through Finance Business, Automobile Warranty Business, and Auto Mobility Services Business segments. It offers automobile leasing, debt collection, salvaging, and financing services; auto credit services for automobile purchases in installments; inspection, repair, maintenance of automobiles and related services, as well as engages in the bodywork and paintwork for automobiles. The company is also involved in sale of used auto parts and business-use software; and wholesaling of automobile. In addition, the company develops and sells warranty products; provides consultancy services; and sells and rents IoT devices. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Premium Group reported revenue of $36.4B in FY2025 versus $18.6B in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.7B in FY2025, compounding +18.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$36.4B
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.3%
Revenue +18.3%/yr
FY21 $18.6B
FY22 $20.9B
FY23 $25.5B
FY24 $31.5B
FY25 $36.4B
Net income +18.2%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $2.9B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.6B
FY25 $4.7B

PMMFF screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Premium Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PMMFF

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Below median
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Premium Group (PMMFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.30 versus a price of $12.99, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PMMFF?
Our model-based fair value for Premium Group is $6.30 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.99.
What is the quality score of PMMFF?
Premium Group has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Premium Group (PMMFF)?
Premium Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $44.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PMMFF?
The net profit margin of Premium Group is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Premium Group pay a dividend?
Premium Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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