Pilot Corporation (POGHF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $37.51 to $10.73 (−71.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.51 to $14.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.45 – $35.60 · fair‑value band $7.51 – $14.82 · the $11.50 price screens above the $10.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Pilot Corporation (POGHF) currently trades at $11.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.73, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pilot Corporation generated revenue of $129B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.51 (bear case) to $14.82 (bull case); at $11.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -7%, POGHF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.26) versus Asset-Based ($5.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pilot Corporation engages in the manufacturing, purchase, and sale of writing instruments, toys, and other stationery goods in Japan, the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company offers fountain pens, ballpoint pens, mechanical pencils, markers, and other products.
Full company description
Pilot Corporation engages in the manufacturing, purchase, and sale of writing instruments, toys, and other stationery goods in Japan, the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company offers fountain pens, ballpoint pens, mechanical pencils, markers, and other products. It also provides stationery goods, such as planners and notebooks, as well as toys, ceramics products, and rings. In addition, the company offers correction tapes, diaries, day planners, and pen cases; educational toys for pre-school children; baby dolls and suisui-oekaki aqua doodle; jewelry; precious metal accessories; ceramic parts; and other products. Pilot Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pilot Corporation reported revenue of $126B in FY2025 versus $103B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $12.1B in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥21.45 | ¥30.05 | +40% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥19.90 | ¥15.67 | -21% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 | ¥11.92 | ¥21.12 | +77% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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