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Pilot Corporation (POGHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.3B

PC Pilot Corporation logo Pilot Corporation POGHF · US
Price$11.50
Fair Value$10.73
Upside-6.7%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.72% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $7.51 – $14.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $37.51 to $10.73 (−71.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.51 to $14.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.60 $10.45 Fair Value $10.73 Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.45 – $35.60 · fair‑value band $7.51 – $14.82 · the $11.50 price screens above the $10.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Pilot Corporation (POGHF) currently trades at $11.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.73, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pilot Corporation generated revenue of $129B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.51 (bear case) to $14.82 (bull case); at $11.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -7%, POGHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.53 $5.41 $6.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.37 $11.01 $14.97 74
ROIC Compounder $6.04 $6.60 $7.08 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.49 $5.49 $6.75 38
Owner Earnings $5.25 $6.54 $8.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.37 $11.04 $15.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.10 $14.17 $19.98 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.12 $12.40 $16.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.92 $8.78 $12.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.12 $10.73 $15.40 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.55 $9.62 $13.23 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.31 $11.30 $14.76 54
PEG = 1.0 $2.16 $3.09 $4.01 46
EPV $6.04 $6.60 $7.08 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.98 $13.31 $16.64 63
P/S Multiple $8.08 $10.78 $13.47 58
P/B Multiple $8.08 $10.78 $13.47 55
EV/EBIT $13.04 $16.76 $20.48 53
EV/EBITDA $13.77 $17.73 $21.69 54
EV/Revenue $9.85 $13.26 $16.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.82 $5.12 $7.64 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.53 $5.41 $6.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.37 $11.01 $14.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.03 $6.34 $6.76 61
ROIC Compounder $6.04 $6.60 $7.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.81 $11.15 $14.50 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.26) versus Asset-Based ($5.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $129B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow $5.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.98
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +53.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pilot Corporation engages in the manufacturing, purchase, and sale of writing instruments, toys, and other stationery goods in Japan, the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company offers fountain pens, ballpoint pens, mechanical pencils, markers, and other products.

Full company description

Pilot Corporation engages in the manufacturing, purchase, and sale of writing instruments, toys, and other stationery goods in Japan, the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company offers fountain pens, ballpoint pens, mechanical pencils, markers, and other products. It also provides stationery goods, such as planners and notebooks, as well as toys, ceramics products, and rings. In addition, the company offers correction tapes, diaries, day planners, and pen cases; educational toys for pre-school children; baby dolls and suisui-oekaki aqua doodle; jewelry; precious metal accessories; ceramic parts; and other products. Pilot Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pilot Corporation reported revenue of $126B in FY2025 versus $103B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $12.1B in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$126B
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 $103B
FY22 $113B
FY23 $119B
FY24 $126B
FY25 $126B
Net income −4.1%/yr
FY21 $14.3B
FY22 $15.8B
FY23 $13.7B
FY24 $15.2B
FY25 $12.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pilot Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POGHF

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 24 · sector 33
FUTURE 42 · sector 18
PAST 37 · sector 20
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ricoh Company RICO ¥15.33 ¥17.99 +17%
GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥10.08 ¥6.90 -32%
Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 ¥21.45 ¥30.05 +40%
XGD Inc 300130 ¥19.90 ¥15.67 -21%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,260 ₹782.96 -65%
Hengbao Co 002104 ¥9.20 ¥1.66 -82%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥6.99 ¥1.75 -75%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.30 ¥3.11 -57%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.00 ¥1.73 -71%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥11.92 ¥21.12 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pilot Corporation (POGHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.73 versus a price of $11.50, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of POGHF?
Our model-based fair value for Pilot Corporation is $10.73 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.50.
What is the quality score of POGHF?
Pilot Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pilot Corporation (POGHF)?
Pilot Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $129B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of POGHF?
The net profit margin of Pilot Corporation is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pilot Corporation pay a dividend?
Pilot Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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