Powell Industries, Inc (POWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.0B
Powell Industries, Inc
POWL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $92.53 to $89.70 (−3.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($112.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($61.07 to $112.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.95 – $321.94 · fair‑value band $61.07 – $112.74 · the $207.36 price screens above the $89.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Powell Industries, Inc (POWL) currently trades at $207.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $89.70, implying the stock looks roughly 56.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Powell Industries, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $449M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $61.07 (bear case) to $112.74 (bull case); at $207.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 267% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -57%, POWL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.95) versus Asset-Based ($11.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Powell Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and services custom-engineered equipment and systems.
Full company description
Powell Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and services custom-engineered equipment and systems. The company's products portfolio includes integrated power control room substations, custom-engineered modules, and electrical houses; and traditional and arc-resistant distribution switchgears and control gears, medium-voltage circuit breakers, monitoring and control communications systems, motor control centers, switches, and bus duct systems. It also provides field service inspection, installation, commissioning, modification, and repair services; spare parts; retrofit and retrofill components for existing systems; and replacement circuit breakers for switchgears. The company serves onshore and offshore production, liquefied natural gas facilities and terminals, pipelines and refineries, petrochemical, electric utility, light rail traction power, mining and metals, pulp and paper, data centers, commercial construction, and other industrial markets, as well as universities and government entities. It operates in the United States, Canada, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Mexico, the Asia/Pacific, and Central and South America. Powell Industries, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Powell Industries, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $471M in FY2021, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was $181M in FY2025, compounding +311.4%/yr from FY2021.
POWL screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- What To Expect From Powell’s (POWL) Q2 Earnings
- Powell Industries Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?
- Powell Industries (POWL) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
- Powell Industries (POWL) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 519 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 12.39 SGD | 1.48 SGD | -88% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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