Paterson Resources Ltd (PSL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$19.3M (≈ $13.9M) · ISIN AU0000072019
What is Paterson Resources Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 18% above our fair value of A$0.0340.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Paterson Resources Ltd is A$0.0340 per share against a price of A$0.0400, so the fair value sits 15% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +14.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0652 · fair‑value band A$0.0275 – A$0.0438 · the A$0.0400 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Paterson Resources Ltd (PSL) currently trades at A$0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of A$0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.0400 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$287K. It earns a return on equity of −9.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0275 (bear case) to A$0.0438 (bull case); at A$0.0400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 233% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −15%, PSL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (64).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Paterson Resources Ltd, a mineral resources company, engages in the exploration and development of gold and copper projects in Australia. Its primary project is the Grace project that covers an area of approximately 345 square kilometers located in the Paterson province in Western Australia.
Full company description
Paterson Resources Ltd, a mineral resources company, engages in the exploration and development of gold and copper projects in Australia. Its primary project is the Grace project that covers an area of approximately 345 square kilometers located in the Paterson province in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Hardey Resources Limited and changed its name to Paterson Resources Ltd in December 2019. Paterson Resources Ltd is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Paterson Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$322K in FY2025 versus A$790 in FY2021, a compound +349.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$471K in FY2025.
PSL screens 18% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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