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PolTREG S.A. (PTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · PL · Market cap 105M PLN (≈ $28.4M) · ISIN PLPLTRG00038

What is PolTREG S.A. really worth?

PS PolTREG S.A. PTG · WAR
Price21.90 PLN
Fair Value5.26 PLN
Upside−76.0%
Quality45/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 316% above our fair value of 5.26 PLN.

As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of PolTREG S.A. is 5.26 PLN per share against a price of 21.90 PLN, so the fair value sits 76% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (5/8)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 3.93 PLN – 7.85 PLN

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from 3.08 PLN to 5.26 PLN (+70.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −15.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.85 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.93 PLN to 7.85 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

72.40 PLN 16.50 PLN Fair Value 5.26 PLN Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range 16.50 PLN – 72.40 PLN · fair‑value band 3.93 PLN – 7.85 PLN · the 21.90 PLN price screens above the 5.26 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

PolTREG S.A. (PTG) currently trades at 21.90 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.26 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 316.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of −54.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.2M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.93 PLN (bear case) to 7.85 PLN (bull case); at 21.90 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −76%, PTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence 3.99 PLN 5.35 PLN 7.98 PLN 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence 3.99 PLN 5.35 PLN 7.98 PLN 54

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) −5.86 PLN
Return on equity −54.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −15.3% avg 5y
Free cash flow −28.4M PLN FY2025
Net cash 10.2M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Poltreg S.A., a biotechnology company, researches and develops therapies for autoimmune diseases. It engages in the development of therapies for the treatment of type 1 diabetes in children, as well as multiple sclerosis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Gdansk, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PolTREG S.A. reported revenue of 0 PLN in FY2025 versus 1.1M PLN in FY2021. Reported net income was −26.0M PLN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
350K PLN
Latest YoY
−75.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−31.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−136.0% (2019) → −5,794.0% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 1.1M PLN
FY22 999K PLN
FY23 1.4M PLN
FY24 350K PLN
FY25 0 PLN
Net income
FY21 −3.7M PLN
FY22 −2.0M PLN
FY23 −13.6M PLN
FY24 −18.7M PLN
FY25 −26.0M PLN

PTG screens 316% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PolTREG S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTG.WAR

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 627 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −21% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥271.00 ¥47.36 −83%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BioNTech SE BNTX $103.76 $45.70 −56%
Incyte Corporation INCY $123.22 $115.79 −6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PolTREG S.A. (PTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.26 PLN versus a price of 21.90 PLN, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTG?
Our model-based fair value for PolTREG S.A. is 5.26 PLN (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.90 PLN.
What is the quality score of PTG?
PolTREG S.A. has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PolTREG S.A. (PTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.26 PLN (as of Aug 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.93 PLN, optimistic scenario 7.85 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PolTREG S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.26 PLN, about −76% upside versus a price of 21.90 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.93 PLN, optimistic scenario 7.85 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of PTG?
The net profit margin of PolTREG S.A. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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