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PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PAX Global Technology Limited $1.90, price $0.47, upside +303.5%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · Home Hong Kong · ISIN BMG6955J1036

PG PAX Global Technology Limited logo Thin data Oct 2, 2026

PAX Global Technology Limited

PXGYF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $1.90 · Strongly undervalued (+303.5%)
✓Quality 73/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.8279 $0.0689 Fair Value $1.90 Aug 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0689 – $0.8279 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $2.37 · the $0.4709 price screens below the $1.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

PAX Global Technology Limited, an investment holding company, develops and sells electronic funds transfer point-of-sale products in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and Italy.

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PAX Global Technology Limited, an investment holding company, develops and sells electronic funds transfer point-of-sale products in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and Italy. The company offers e-payment terminal products that include android smart e-payment solutions, unattended solutions, classic e-payment solutions, commercial EPOS solution, and other products; android smartPOS; classic POS; and android smart tablet. It also provides MAXSTORE, a cloud-based Software as a Service platform that offers one-stop terminal management and value-added services; CyberLab, a payment application cloud test platform that provides professional one-stop online debugging and testing services; AirLauncher, an android launcher; and GoInsight, a data platform for real-time device intelligence. In addition, the company offers maintenance and installation services. PAX Global Technology Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) currently trades at $0.4709, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.46 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.4709 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6400, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.42 (bear) to $2.37 (bull), the price of $0.4709 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

PAX Global Technology Limited reported revenue of HK$5.9B in FY2025 versus HK$7.2B in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$753M in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $507M · P/E ratio 5.2 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Net margin 12.8% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% · Operating margin 14.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 303%, PXGYF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.42 Fair Value $1.90 Bull $2.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.01 $2.94 $4.32 80
Growth DCF $1.99 $2.83 $4.00 79
Owner Earnings $1.47 $2.07 $2.96 77
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.01 $2.94 $4.32 80
Owner Earnings $1.47 $2.07 $2.96 77
5Y Revenue Exit $1.59 $2.23 $3.06 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.70 $2.46 $3.36 76
5Y P/E Exit $1.85 $2.76 $3.76 71
10Y Revenue Exit $1.71 $2.33 $3.20 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.80 $2.48 $3.43 69
10Y P/E Exit $1.89 $2.68 $3.73 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.6100 $2.62 $3.57 64
Lynch FV $0.6700 $0.9500 $1.24 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.6700 $0.9500 $1.24 57
EPV $1.17 $1.26 $1.34 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4900 $0.8900 $1.23 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4900 $0.8100 $0.9500 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.42 $1.90 $2.37 63
P/S Multiple $1.06 $1.41 $1.77 58
P/B Multiple $1.15 $1.54 $1.92 55
EV/EBIT $1.81 $2.26 $2.71 66
EV/EBITDA $1.63 $2.01 $2.40 67
EV/Revenue $1.36 $1.75 $2.13 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.9500 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.99 $2.83 $4.00 79
Rev-Margin DCF $1.59 $2.23 $3.04 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.7800 $0.8500 $0.9500 76
ROIC Compounder $1.22 $1.42 $1.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.12 $1.61 $2.09 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.2% vs 2.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.7% · Above median
Return on assets 6.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 59.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥7.54 ¥1.75 −77%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥8.56 ¥2.85 −67%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.55 ¥1.95 −70%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥10.70 ¥24.36 +128%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PAX Global Technology Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PXGYF

Frequently asked questions

Is PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.90 versus a price of $0.4709, about +303% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PXGYF?
Our model-based fair value for PAX Global Technology Limited is $1.90 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4709.
What is the quality score of PXGYF?
PAX Global Technology Limited has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.90 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PAX Global Technology Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.90, about +303% upside versus a price of $0.4709 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.42, optimistic scenario $2.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
PAX Global Technology Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PAX Global Technology Limited would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PXGYF use?
Our models discount PAX Global Technology Limited at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PAX Global Technology Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PAX Global Technology Limited grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PAX Global Technology Limited (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.19 %: that much free cash flow PAX Global Technology Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PAX Global Technology Limited it is $1.90 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $0.4709. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PAX Global Technology Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, PXGYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4709, fair value $1.90, a gap of about +303% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PXGYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4709); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.90). For PAX Global Technology Limited the two are $1.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PAX Global Technology Limited worth?
The market values PAX Global Technology Limited at about $507M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $0.4709; our models calculate a fair value of $1.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PXGYF?
Our models span a range for PAX Global Technology Limited: cautious scenario $1.42, base $1.90, optimistic $2.37 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $0.4709). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PXGYF?
PAX Global Technology Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.2 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for PAX Global Technology Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 9.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PXGYF from its 52-week high?
PAX Global Technology Limited trades at $0.4709, about 38% below its 52-week high of $0.7550 and 26% above the low of $0.3724 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PAX Global Technology Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GRG Banking Equipment Co, Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc, Crane NXT, Co, XGD Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PAX Global Technology Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $0.4709, calculated fair value $1.90 (+303%), Quality Score 73/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PXGYF calculated?
We run PAX Global Technology Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PAX Global Technology Limited currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.4709. Our model-based fair value is $1.90, about +303% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PAX Global Technology Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) come from?
Earnings per share at PAX Global Technology Limited grew +5.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.0 %, EBIT margin −3.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of PAX Global Technology Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The market capitalisation of PAX Global Technology Limited is $507M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PAX Global Technology Limited is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Earnings per share at PAX Global Technology Limited are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The net margin of PAX Global Technology Limited is 12.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PAX Global Technology Limited is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PAX Global Technology Limited is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
The operating margin of PAX Global Technology Limited is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Revenue at PAX Global Technology Limited is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF)?
Earnings per share at PAX Global Technology Limited are growing +40.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does PAX Global Technology Limited (PXGYF) hold?
PAX Global Technology Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$3.9B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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