Quantum Computing Inc (QUBT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.8B
Quantum Computing Inc
QUBT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.77 to $5.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4210 – $25.68 · fair‑value band $2.77 – $5.24 · the $9.18 price screens above the $4.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Quantum Computing Inc (QUBT) currently trades at $9.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.20, implying the stock looks roughly 54.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $4.3M. It earns a return on equity of -4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $736M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.77 (bear case) to $5.24 (bull case); at $9.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -54%, QUBT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Quantum Computing Inc., an integrated photonics company, provides quantum machines to commercial and government markets in the United States. The company develops thin-film lithium niobate chips for optical devices, such as electro-optical modulators, periodically poled devices for frequency conversion, and micro-ring resonator cavities markets.
Full company description
Quantum Computing Inc., an integrated photonics company, provides quantum machines to commercial and government markets in the United States. The company develops thin-film lithium niobate chips for optical devices, such as electro-optical modulators, periodically poled devices for frequency conversion, and micro-ring resonator cavities markets. It is also developing the entropy quantum computer (EQC), a quantum application of Core Photonics Technology, designed to solve complex optimization problems. In addition, the company offers Emucore, a reservoir computing machine that can be reprogrammed after manufacturing and optimized for recurrent neural network applications; Neurawave, a photonics based reservoir computer; LiDAR, which allows machines to see through dense fog and provide image fidelity at great distances in environments, such as snow, ice, and water; the quantum photonic vibrometer, an instrument for remote vibration detection, sensing, and inspection; and quantum networks and quantum authentication products. The company was formerly known as Innovative Beverage Group Holdings, Inc. Quantum Computing, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is based in Hoboken, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Quantum Computing Inc reported revenue of $682K in FY2025 versus $31.2K in FY2021, a compound +116.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$18.7M in FY2025.
QUBT screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 1 Quantum Computing Stock Poised to Drop After Aug. 10
- Horizon Quantum’s Commercial Push With Early Platform Launch, $113M Cash Position – Quarterly Update Report
- Quantum Computing Stock Pre-Q2 Earnings Release: To Buy, Hold or Sell?
- QUBT vs. RGTI: Which Quantum Computing Stock Is the Better Pick Now?
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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