Raisio plc (RAIVV) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · FI · Market cap €414M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from €1.62 (bear) to €2.83 (bull), base €2.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.58 – €3.65 · fair‑value band €1.62 – €2.83 · the €2.60 price screens above the €2.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Raisio plc (RAIVV) currently trades at €2.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.20, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Raisio plc generated revenue of €224M at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at €3.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.62 (bear case) to €2.83 (bull case); at €2.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -15%, RAIVV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€2.50) versus Asset-Based (€1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Raisio plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells food and food ingredients in Finland, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Brands & Industrial and Other Operations segment. The company offers grain-based food and ingredients; and plant proteins to industrial and catering companies.
Full company description
Raisio plc, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells food and food ingredients in Finland, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Brands & Industrial and Other Operations segment. The company offers grain-based food and ingredients; and plant proteins to industrial and catering companies. It also offers fat-based products, including margarines and vegetable oil spreads; dairy products, such as yogurt drinks and yogurt, quark; cereals comprising flour, pasta, barley, mueslis, breakfast cereals, instant porridge, biscuits, bars, and breads; and plant-based products that include unflavored and flavoured drinks, spoonable products, smoothies, and cream alternatives under the Benecol, Elovena, Sunnuntai, Torino, Nalle, and Raisio food solutions brand names. The company was formerly known as Raisio Group plc and changed its name to Raisio plc in April 2005. Raisio plc was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Raisio, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Raisio plc reported revenue of €224M in FY2025 versus €246M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was €23.2M in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
RAIVV screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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