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RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. (RAJTUBE) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹575M

RT RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. RAJTUBE · BSE
Price₹10.91
Fair Value₹4.66
Upside-57.3%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range ₹3.50 – ₹5.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹56.99 ₹0.9710 Fair Value ₹4.66 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹0.9710 – ₹56.99 · fair‑value band ₹3.50 – ₹5.83 · the ₹10.91 price screens above the ₹4.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. (RAJTUBE) currently trades at ₹10.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. generated revenue of ₹170M at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue declined 80.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.2%. Net debt stands at ₹69.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.50 (bear case) to ₹5.83 (bull case); at ₹10.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -57%, RAJTUBE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹25.39 ₹32.47 ₹43.45 80
ROIC Compounder ₹3.05 ₹3.56 ₹4.07 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.49 ₹3.56 ₹4.63 68
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹24.59 ₹32.07 ₹44.60 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹12.78 ₹14.96 ₹18.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹12.37 ₹14.26 ₹16.78 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹12.46 ₹14.42 ₹16.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹17.80 ₹19.79 ₹21.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹17.66 ₹19.40 ₹20.92 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹17.70 ₹19.48 ₹20.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1.87 ₹2.28 ₹2.57 54
EPV ₹3.05 ₹3.47 ₹3.82 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹3.50 ₹4.66 ₹5.83 63
P/S Multiple ₹3.50 ₹4.66 ₹5.83 58
P/B Multiple ₹3.50 ₹4.66 ₹5.83 55
EV/EBIT ₹4.46 ₹5.95 ₹7.44 53
EV/EBITDA ₹3.30 ₹4.40 ₹5.51 54
EV/Revenue ₹3.86 ₹5.52 ₹7.19 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹1.11 ₹1.49 ₹2.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹25.39 ₹32.47 ₹43.45 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1.95 ₹2.21 ₹3.60 61
ROIC Compounder ₹3.05 ₹3.56 ₹4.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.49 ₹3.56 ₹4.63 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹32.47) versus Asset-Based (₹1.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹170M
Revenue growth (YoY) -80.1%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 13.2%
Free cash flow ₹137M FY2026
P/E ratio 40.4
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2700
Net debt ₹69.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rajasthan Tube Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, trades in, and sells steel tubes and pipes in India. The company offers ERW pipes and tubes/black steel pipes and tubes, and galvanized pipes and tubes that are used in various applications, such as water pipelines, water mains, sewerage systems, industrial water lines, plant piping, agriculture and …

Full company description

Rajasthan Tube Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, trades in, and sells steel tubes and pipes in India. The company offers ERW pipes and tubes/black steel pipes and tubes, and galvanized pipes and tubes that are used in various applications, such as water pipelines, water mains, sewerage systems, industrial water lines, plant piping, agriculture and irrigation, deep tube-wells and casing pipes, gas pipelines, pipelines for natural gas, LPG and other non-toxic gases, oil pipelines, oil refinery piping, crude oil piping, and cross-country pipelines. It also provides hot rolled steel sheets for use in making tubular products, including hot rolled coils, pipes, LPG cylinders, shuttering plates, and off late in the construction sector. In addition, the company's hot rolled steel sheets are also used as a component in the making of pressure vessels; in buildings; in hull and steel structures, and boiler usage, as well as for making safety parts and automobile suspension. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Jaipur, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. reported revenue of ₹170M in FY2026 versus ₹532M in FY2022, a compound −24.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹12.4M in FY2026, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹170M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue −24.8%/yr
FY22 ₹532M
FY23 ₹999M
FY24 ₹949M
FY25 ₹563M
FY26 ₹170M
Net income +21.8%/yr
FY22 ₹5.6M
FY23 ₹9.6M
FY24 ₹7.2M
FY25 ₹4.9M
FY26 ₹12.4M

RAJTUBE screens 57% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAJTUBE

Peer Group

Steel · 384 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -80% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 28.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 18
FUTURE0 · sector 4
PAST53 · sector 16
HEALTH98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. (RAJTUBE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.66 versus a price of ₹10.91, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RAJTUBE?
Our model-based fair value for RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. is ₹4.66 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.91.
What is the quality score of RAJTUBE?
RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. (RAJTUBE)?
RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹170M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAJTUBE?
The net profit margin of RAJASTHAN TUBE MANUFACTURING CO.LTD. is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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