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Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Raiffeisen Bank International AG €52.47, price €58.10, upside -9.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Raiffeisen Bank International AG
RAW · XETRAOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value €52.47 · Overvalued (−9.7%)
!Quality 58/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.8% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €8.18 – €66.50 · fair‑value band €45.58 – €60.82 · the €58.10 price screens above the €52.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Raiffeisen Bank International AG, together with its subsidiaries, offers banking services to corporate, retail, and institutional customers.
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Raiffeisen Bank International AG, together with its subsidiaries, offers banking services to corporate, retail, and institutional customers. The company provides cash management, investment and subsidized financing, eSpeedTrack, financing and sustainable solutions, electronic bank account management, reporting and payment, supply chain financing, payment acceptance, factoring solutions, export and trade finance, factoring, leveraged and acquisition financing, project and structured financing, real estate financing, leasing, digital banking, working capital, investment banking, investing, hedging, and investor services to its institutional clients and corporate customers in agri food and beverage, mobility, construction and building materials, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, infrastructure and logistics, manufacturing, metals and mining, energy, packaging, real estate, retail, technology, telecom, and utilities industries. It also offers corporate, investment, and retail banking services, such as wealth management services to retail customers and small and medium-sized enterprises. In addition, the company provides accounts, clearing, reporting, settlement, domestic banks, and instant payment services; and investment banking services, including asset based finance, fund finance and alternatives investments, loan syndication, mergers and acquisitions advisory, and debt and equity capital markets services. It operates through a network of business outlets in Central, Southeastern, and Eastern Europe, as well as Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Romania, Serbia, Russia, Austria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Ukraine. Raiffeisen Bank International AG was founded in 1886 and is based in Vienna, Austria.
Stock analysis
Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) currently trades at €58.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €52.47, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €54.28 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €58.10 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €27.29, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €45.58 (bear) to €60.82 (bull), the price of €58.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Raiffeisen Bank International AG reported revenue of €9.9B in FY2025 versus €5.6B in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was €1.4B in FY2025, compounding 0.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €19.1B · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 2.57 · EPS (TTM) €3.12 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 13.8% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −10%, RAW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €45.58
Fair Value €52.47
Bull €60.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.15 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
€51.58
€53.79
€58.69
76
Gordon GGM
€17.03
€35.41
€56.17
66
DDM Multi-Stage
€17.03
€27.29
€37.16
66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€17.03
€35.41
€56.17
66
DDM Multi-Stage
€17.03
€27.29
€37.16
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€40.71
€54.28
€67.85
63
P/B Multiple
€53.24
€70.98
€88.73
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€32.10
€43.01
€64.20
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€51.58
€53.79
€58.69
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
58/100
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Profitability
25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
’14
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’17
’18
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’20
’21
’22
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.3% vs 11.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.1% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−11.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.9%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1060 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 78.00 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥40.69 | ¥52.73 | +30% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €79.53 | €77.12 | −3% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $11.05 | $6.82 | −38% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.38 | €4.06 | −36% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.54 | €105.99 | +16% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹721.20 | ₹406.44 | −44% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.01 SGD | 19.78 SGD | −38% |
| Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corporation 1120 | 63.15 SAR | 36.95 SAR | −41% |
| CaixaBank, S.A CABK | €12.03 | €8.46 | −30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €52.47 versus a price of €58.10, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RAW?
Our model-based fair value for Raiffeisen Bank International AG is €52.47 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €58.10.
What is the quality score of RAW?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €52.47 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €45.58, optimistic scenario €60.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Raiffeisen Bank International AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €52.47, about −10% upside versus a price of €58.10 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €45.58, optimistic scenario €60.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Raiffeisen Bank International AG pay a dividend?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.75% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Raiffeisen Bank International AG would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RAW use?
Our models discount Raiffeisen Bank International AG at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Raiffeisen Bank International AG that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Raiffeisen Bank International AG grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Raiffeisen Bank International AG (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 44.73 %: that much free cash flow Raiffeisen Bank International AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Raiffeisen Bank International AG it is €52.47 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €58.10. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Raiffeisen Bank International AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, RAW trades above its calculated fair value: price €58.10, fair value €52.47, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RAW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€58.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€52.47). For Raiffeisen Bank International AG the two are €5.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Raiffeisen Bank International AG worth?
The market values Raiffeisen Bank International AG at about €19.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €58.10; our models calculate a fair value of €52.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RAW?
Our models span a range for Raiffeisen Bank International AG: cautious scenario €45.58, base €52.47, optimistic €60.82 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €58.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RAW?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €52.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.8, P/B 1.0, P/S 2.4.
What is the PEG ratio of RAW?
The PEG ratio of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 2.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Raiffeisen Bank International AG (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RAW from its 52-week high?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG trades at €58.10, about 13% below its 52-week high of €66.50 and 107% above the low of €28.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €52.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Raiffeisen Bank International AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Raiffeisen Bank International AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €58.10, calculated fair value €52.47 (−10%), Quality Score 58/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RAW calculated?
We run Raiffeisen Bank International AG through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €52.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Raiffeisen Bank International AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €58.10. Our model-based fair value is €52.47, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Raiffeisen Bank International AG right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) come from?
Earnings per share at Raiffeisen Bank International AG grew +15.8 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.2 %, EBIT margin +12.4 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Raiffeisen Bank International AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The market capitalisation of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is €19.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 2.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Earnings per share at Raiffeisen Bank International AG are €3.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The dividend yield of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 2.8% (payout 51.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The net margin of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 13.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
The operating margin of Raiffeisen Bank International AG is 39.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Revenue at Raiffeisen Bank International AG is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW)?
Earnings per share at Raiffeisen Bank International AG are growing −35.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RAW) hold?
Raiffeisen Bank International AG holds more cash than debt, €21.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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