RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, (RCFX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 6.6M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from £0.0358 to £0.0350 (−2.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −12.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0350). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range £0.0665 – £0.6479 · fair‑value band £0.0280 – £0.0350 · the £0.0700 price screens above the £0.0350 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, (RCFX) currently trades at £0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0350, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, generated revenue of £4.1M at a net margin of -34.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0280 (bear case) to £0.0350 (bull case); at £0.0700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -50%, RCFX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (£0.0100) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, provides integrity solutions that support mission-critical programmes across land, sea, and air domains in the United Kingdom. The company offers electrical, mechanical, system, and software engineering, as well as technological and innovation, operational analysis, and project management solutions.
Full company description
RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, provides integrity solutions that support mission-critical programmes across land, sea, and air domains in the United Kingdom. The company offers electrical, mechanical, system, and software engineering, as well as technological and innovation, operational analysis, and project management solutions. It also delivers bespoke, outcome-driven services across critical defence platforms, including fighter aircraft, naval vessels, drones and military vehicles. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, reported revenue of £4.1M in FY2025 versus £1.6M in FY2022, a compound +35.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.4M in FY2025.
RCFX screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →
Peer Group
Consulting Services · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK | $201.49 | $145.58 | -28% |
| SGS SA SGSN | CHF 94.68 | CHF 68.96 | -27% |
| Equifax Inc EFX | $177.08 | $101.34 | -43% |
| Bureau Veritas SA BVI | €27.20 | €27.81 | +2% |
| ALS Limited ALQ | A$21.96 | A$11.02 | -50% |
| Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH | $63.94 | $120.62 | +89% |
| DKSH Holding DKSH | CHF 67.60 | CHF 64.81 | -4% |
| FTI Consulting, Inc FCN | $156.86 | $171.64 | +9% |
| Centre Testing International Group 300012 | ¥14.06 | ¥11.90 | -15% |
| GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 | ¥16.56 | ¥11.69 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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