RC Fornax Plc (RCFX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of RC Fornax Plc £0.03, price £0.05, upside -34.8%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range £0.0485 – £0.5600 · fair‑value band £0.0299 – £0.0349 · the £0.0535 price screens above the £0.0349 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, provides integrity solutions that support mission-critical programmes across land, sea, and air domains in the United Kingdom. The company offers electrical, mechanical, system, and software engineering, as well as technological and innovation, operational analysis, and project management solutions.
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RC Fornax Plc, a veteran-founded UK consultancy, provides integrity solutions that support mission-critical programmes across land, sea, and air domains in the United Kingdom. The company offers electrical, mechanical, system, and software engineering, as well as technological and innovation, operational analysis, and project management solutions. It also delivers bespoke, outcome-driven services across critical defence platforms, including fighter aircraft, naval vessels, drones and military vehicles. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
RC Fornax Plc (RCFX) currently trades at £0.0535, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0349, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of £0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the £0.0535 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.0100, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.0299 (bear) to £0.0349 (bull), the price of £0.0535 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
RC Fornax Plc reported revenue of £4.1M in FY2025 versus £1.6M in FY2022, a compound +35.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£1.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.6M GBX · P/S ratio 2.72 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0500 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin −34.0% · Return on equity −76.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 35.6% · Operating margin −43.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −35%, RCFX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.0299Fair Value £0.0349Bull £0.0349
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.2%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
23.2% (2022) → −31.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 86 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−33% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−107% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−43% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−43% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.70× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.60× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 61
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is RC Fornax Plc (RCFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0349 versus a price of £0.0535, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RCFX?
Our model-based fair value for RC Fornax Plc is £0.0349 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0535.
What is the quality score of RCFX?
RC Fornax Plc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0349 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0299, optimistic scenario £0.0349. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RC Fornax Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0349, about −35% upside versus a price of £0.0535 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0299, optimistic scenario £0.0349. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
RC Fornax Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £2.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does RC Fornax Plc pay a dividend?
RC Fornax Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RC Fornax Plc it is £0.0349 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.0535. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RC Fornax Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RCFX trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0535, fair value £0.0349, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RCFX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0535); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0349). For RC Fornax Plc the two are £0.0186 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RC Fornax Plc worth?
The market values RC Fornax Plc at about 6.6M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.0535; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0349 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RCFX?
Our models span a range for RC Fornax Plc: cautious scenario £0.0299, base £0.0349, optimistic £0.0349 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.0535). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
Balance-sheet figures for RC Fornax Plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −76.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RCFX from its 52-week high?
RC Fornax Plc trades at £0.0535, about 62% below its 52-week high of £0.1425 and 10% above the low of £0.0485 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0349 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RC Fornax Plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisk Analytics, Inc, SGS SA, Equifax Inc, Bureau Veritas SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RC Fornax Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.0535, calculated fair value £0.0349 (−35%), Quality Score 27/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RCFX calculated?
We run RC Fornax Plc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0349, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. RC Fornax Plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.0535. Our model-based fair value is £0.0349, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RC Fornax Plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0349). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of RC Fornax Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The market capitalisation of RC Fornax Plc is 6.6M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RC Fornax Plc is 2.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
Earnings per share at RC Fornax Plc are £−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The dividend yield of RC Fornax Plc is 2.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The net margin of RC Fornax Plc is −34.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RC Fornax Plc is −76.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RC Fornax Plc is 35.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
The operating margin of RC Fornax Plc is −43.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RC Fornax Plc (RCFX)?
Revenue at RC Fornax Plc is growing −42.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does RC Fornax Plc (RCFX) generate?
The free cash flow of RC Fornax Plc is −2.7M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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