RedHill Biopharma Ltd (RDHL) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.2M

Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.3485 to $0.6970) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5810 – $10,360 · fair‑value band $0.3485 – $0.6970 · the $0.6050 price screens above the $0.4675 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

RedHill Biopharma Ltd (RDHL) currently trades at $0.6050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4675, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $286K. Revenue grew 58.6% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3485 (bear case) to $0.6970 (bull case); at $0.6050, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -23%, RDHL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

RedHill Biopharma Ltd., a specialty biopharmaceutical company, primarily focuses on gastrointestinal and infectious diseases. The company develops and commercializes Talicia for the treatment of H. pylori infection in adults; and Aemcolo for the treatment of travelers' diarrhea in adults.

Full company description

RedHill Biopharma Ltd., a specialty biopharmaceutical company, primarily focuses on gastrointestinal and infectious diseases. The company develops and commercializes Talicia for the treatment of H. pylori infection in adults; and Aemcolo for the treatment of travelers' diarrhea in adults. Its pipeline consists of five therapeutic candidates, which are in clinical development include opaganib for treating patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 severe COVID-19 pneumonia, prostate cancer, nuclear radiation protection; and host directed anti-viral; RHB-107 (upamostat) for treating outpatients infected with SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19 disease) and advanced unresectable cholangiocarcinoma; RHB-104 for Crohn's disease; RHB-102 (Bekinda) for the treatment of acute gastroenteritis and gastritis, irritable bowel syndrome with diarrhea, and oncology support anti-emetic; and RHB-204 that is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of pulmonary Mycobacterium avium complex disease in adults. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RedHill Biopharma Ltd reported revenue of $286K in FY2025 versus $85.8M in FY2021, a compound −76.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$429K in FY2025.

RDHL screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 623 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.