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ErreDue S.p.A (RDUE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €61.3M

ES ErreDue S.p.A RDUE · MI
Price€10.35
Fair Value€9.31
Upside-10.1%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.01% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range €6.76 – €11.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from €20.28 to €9.31 (−54.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from €6.76 (bear) to €11.87 (bull), base €9.31. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

€11.39 €6.04 Fair Value €9.31 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range €6.04 – €11.39 · fair‑value band €6.76 – €11.87 · the €10.35 price screens above the €9.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

ErreDue S.p.A (RDUE) currently trades at €10.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.31, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ErreDue S.p.A generated revenue of €20.8M at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 31.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at €5.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €6.76 (bear case) to €11.87 (bull case); at €10.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -10%, RDUE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €4.31 €4.55 €4.90 76
ROIC Compounder €2.63 €3.04 €3.37 72
Gordon GGM €1.11 €1.87 €2.42 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.58 €24.04 €33.69 54
Lynch FV €7.04 €10.06 €13.07 50
PEG = 1.0 €7.04 €10.06 €13.07 46
EPV €2.63 €3.04 €3.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.11 €1.87 €2.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.11 €1.77 €2.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.29 €11.06 €13.82 63
P/S Multiple €4.64 €6.19 €7.74 58
P/B Multiple €6.71 €8.95 €11.19 55
EV/EBIT €6.91 €9.47 €12.03 53
EV/EBITDA €8.13 €11.10 €14.07 54
EV/Revenue €3.13 €4.81 €6.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.76 €3.70 €5.52 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.31 €4.55 €4.90 76
ROIC Compounder €2.63 €3.04 €3.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €9.77 €13.96 €18.14 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€13.96) versus Dividend Discount (€1.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €20.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.4%
Net margin 15.8%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow −€1.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.5
More key figures
Operating margin 22.0%
EPS (TTM) €0.5300
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +39.0%
Net debt €5.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ErreDue S.p.A. provides on-site gas generation and purification products in Italy. The company offers hydrogen, nitrogen, and oxygen generators; air compressors; on-site generators; gas purifiers; electronic mixers; zero and pure air generators; and energy transition systems.

Full company description

ErreDue S.p.A. provides on-site gas generation and purification products in Italy. The company offers hydrogen, nitrogen, and oxygen generators; air compressors; on-site generators; gas purifiers; electronic mixers; zero and pure air generators; and energy transition systems. Its products are used in various applications, such as laser cutting, heat treatment of metals, welding, food sectors, enology, renewable energies, pharmaceutical industry, goldsmith and naval sectors, and sintering. The company also provides remote support services, spare parts, and turnkey solutions. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Livorno, Italy. ErreDue S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Green H2 Holding S.r.l.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ErreDue S.p.A reported revenue of €19.4M in FY2025 versus €11.1M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was €3.3M in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€19.4M
Latest YoY
+21.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.3%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 €11.1M
FY22 €12.3M
FY23 €16.5M
FY24 €15.9M
FY25 €19.4M
Net income +10.0%/yr
FY21 €2.3M
FY22 €1.7M
FY23 €3.4M
FY24 €2.7M
FY25 €3.3M

RDUE screens 10% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ErreDue S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RDUE

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 805 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.40× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 39 · sector 28
HEALTH 88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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Frequently asked questions

Is ErreDue S.p.A (RDUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.31 versus a price of €10.35, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RDUE?
Our model-based fair value for ErreDue S.p.A is €9.31 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €10.35.
What is the quality score of RDUE?
ErreDue S.p.A has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ErreDue S.p.A (RDUE)?
ErreDue S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RDUE?
The net profit margin of ErreDue S.p.A is about 15.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ErreDue S.p.A pay a dividend?
ErreDue S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 5, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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