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RAREX Ltd (REE) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$14.6M (≈ $10.5M) · ISIN AU0000068579

What is RAREX Ltd really worth?

RL RAREX Ltd REE · AU
PriceA$0.0130
Fair ValueA$0.0085
Upside−34.6%
Quality42/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 53% above our fair value of A$0.0085.

As of Jun 24, 2026, the fair value of RAREX Ltd is A$0.0085 per share against a price of A$0.0130, so the fair value sits 35% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +132.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 25 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0085 – A$0.0085

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 73 days ago

Share price +30.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0085). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.1400 A$0.0080 Fair Value A$0.0085 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.1400 · the A$0.0130 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

RAREX Ltd (REE) currently trades at A$0.0130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Revenue declined 79.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −57.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −35%, REE screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Dividend yield 1.2%
Return on equity −57.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −88.6% avg 5y
Operating margin −919% TTM
Revenue (TTM) −A$564K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −79.9% 3y avg −20.5%
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$2.7M FY2025
Net cash A$1.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

RareX Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company primarily explores for rare earths and gallium, niobium, and scandium in hardrock carbonatites. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Cummins Range Rare Earths project located in the Kimberley region of Western Australia.

Full company description

RareX Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company primarily explores for rare earths and gallium, niobium, and scandium in hardrock carbonatites. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Cummins Range Rare Earths project located in the Kimberley region of Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RAREX Ltd reported revenue of A$1.0M in FY2025 versus A$8.4K in FY2021, a compound +230.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$1.0M
Latest YoY
+2,219.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+132.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21,742.3% (2020) → −262.9% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +230.5%/yr
FY21 A$8.4K
FY22 A$2.0M
FY23 A$9.2K
FY24 A$43.3K
FY25 A$1.0M
Net income
FY21 −A$5.4M
FY22 −A$11.2M
FY23 −A$9.3M
FY24 −A$3.3M
FY25 −A$3.5M

REE screens 53% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RAREX Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REE.AU

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Above median
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on assets −67% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −80% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.78× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 38
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND25 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$66.84 A$42.16 −37%
Vale S.A VALE $15.31 $8.95 −42%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR −48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.42 ¥16.15 −12%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $69.34 $32.02 −54%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 −11%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥66.76 ¥9.55 −86%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 −74%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 −31%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 −13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RAREX Ltd (REE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0130, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REE?
Our model-based fair value for RAREX Ltd is A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0130.
What is the quality score of REE?
RAREX Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RAREX Ltd (REE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RAREX Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0085, about −35% upside versus a price of A$0.0130 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of REE?
The net profit margin of RAREX Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does RAREX Ltd pay a dividend?
RAREX Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).
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