Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk IDR 774, price IDR 580, upside +33.4%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 505.00 IDR – 1,155 IDR · fair‑value band 486.35 IDR – 1,104 IDR · the 580.00 IDR price screens below the 773.86 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes breads in Indonesia. The company offers white and sweet breads, cakes, and chocolates, as well as milk and jam under the Sari Roti, Sari Kue, and Sari Choco brand names.
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PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes breads in Indonesia. The company offers white and sweet breads, cakes, and chocolates, as well as milk and jam under the Sari Roti, Sari Kue, and Sari Choco brand names. It also engages in the processing of dairy products, fruits, vegetables, juices, and soft drinks; and wholesale of bakery products, non-alcohol beverages, non-dairy, milk and dairy products, food from chocolate, and confectionary of chocolate. The company was formerly known as PT Nippon Indosari Corporation and changed its name to PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk in September 2003. PT Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) currently trades at 580.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 773.86 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 849.08 IDR per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 580.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 243.22 IDR, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 486.35 IDR (bear) to 1,104 IDR (bull), the price of 580.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk reported revenue of 3.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 259B IDR in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3T IDR (≈ $183M) · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) 42.13 IDR · Dividend yield 13.0% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 33%, ROTI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 486.35 IDRFair Value 773.86 IDRBull 1,104 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (30.93 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)13.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs −2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.9% a year for the price.
Compare Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+33% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)13.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Is Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 773.86 IDR versus a price of 580.00 IDR, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ROTI?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 773.86 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 580.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ROTI?
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 773.86 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 486.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,104 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 773.86 IDR, about +33% upside versus a price of 580.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 486.35 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,104 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk pay a dividend?
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +11.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ROTI use?
Our models discount Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk that is +11.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies +11.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (+11.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.73 %: that much free cash flow Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk it is 773.86 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 580.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ROTI trades below its calculated fair value: price 580.00 IDR, fair value 773.86 IDR, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ROTI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (580.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (773.86 IDR). For Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk the two are 193.86 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk worth?
The market values Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk at about 3.3T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 580.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 773.86 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ROTI?
Our models span a range for Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk: cautious scenario 486.35 IDR, base 773.86 IDR, optimistic 1,104 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 580.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ROTI?
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 773.86 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.9%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ROTI from its 52-week high?
Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk trades at 580.00 IDR, about 20% below its 52-week high of 729.46 IDR and 15% above the low of 505.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 773.86 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 580.00 IDR, calculated fair value 773.86 IDR (+33%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ROTI calculated?
We run Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 773.86 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 580.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 773.86 IDR, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (486.35 IDR to 1,104 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) come from?
Earnings per share at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk grew +1.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin −4.6 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The market capitalisation of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 3.3T IDR (≈ $183M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk are 42.13 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The dividend yield of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 13.0% (payout 179%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The net margin of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
The operating margin of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Revenue at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk are growing −90.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk (ROTI) carry?
The net debt of Nippon Indosari Corpindo Tbk is 376B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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