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Data-driven stock valuation

Rumble Inc. (RUM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Rumble Inc. stock $0.73, price $5.64, upside -87.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · US · ISIN US78137L1052

RI Rumble Inc. logo Thin data Oct 26, 2026

Rumble Inc.

RUM · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 87% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 43/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +85.7 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $0.7300 · Strongly overvalued (−87.1%)
Loss-making · -134.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.81 $3.39 Fair Value $0.7300 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.39 – $16.81 · fair‑value band $0.4800 – $0.9200 · the $5.64 price screens above the $0.7300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

Rumble Inc. provides video sharing and cloud services platform in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

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The company offers Rumble Video, a free and subscription-based video sharing platform; Rumble Studio, a multi-platform livestreaming and monetization service for creators; Rumble Advertising Center, an in-house advertising marketplace; and Rumble Wallet, a non-custodial crypto wallet integrated directly into the Rumble platform enabling audiences to tip creators natively in crypto.

It also provides Rumble Cloud, an infrastructure as a service that offers a portfolio of compute, storage, security, and networking offerings.

In addition, the company offers banner/display advertising, video pre-roll/mid-roll advertising, and creator sponsorships, as well as subscriptions, pay-per-view, and tipping services. Rumble Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Longboat Key, Florida.

Stock analysis

Rumble Inc. (RUM) currently trades at $5.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7300, 87.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.4800 (bear) to $0.9200 (bull), the price of $5.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Rumble Inc. reported revenue of $101M in FY2025 versus $9.5M in FY2021, a compound +80.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$81.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.8B Mid · P/S ratio 31.9 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6100 · Net margin −135% · Return on equity −18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −32.9% · Operating margin −99.2% · Revenue (TTM) $118M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, RUM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4800 Fair Value $0.7300 Bull $0.9200
Price $5.64 · Upside -87.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.7300 $0.9200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.7300 $0.9200 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 38
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+85.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+76.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.7% (2020) → −76.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

RUM screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 126 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −24.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −134.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −99.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 60.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 13.67× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 31.92× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$26.78 HK$85.53 +219% vs RUM
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$33.70 HK$74.21 +120% vs RUM
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$393.80 HK$711.18 +81% vs RUM
NAVER Corporation 035420 179,500 KRW 314,922 KRW +75% vs RUM
Meta Platforms, Inc META $642.62 $706.88 +10% vs RUM
REA Group REA A$164.11 A$180.52 +10% vs RUM
Alphabet Inc GOOG $317.28 $336.08 +6% vs RUM
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $584.22 $615.66 +5% vs RUM
Reddit, Inc RDDT $144.25 $131.44 −9% vs RUM
Baidu, Inc BIDU $77.20 $67.52 −13% vs RUM

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Rumble Inc. · Fair Value
$0.7300 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rumble Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RUM

Frequently asked questions

Is Rumble Inc. (RUM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7300 versus a price of $5.64, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RUM?
Our model-based fair value for Rumble Inc. is $0.7300 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.64.
What is the quality score of RUM?
Rumble Inc. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7300 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4800, optimistic scenario $0.9200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rumble Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7300, about −87% upside versus a price of $5.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4800, optimistic scenario $0.9200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Rumble Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $118M (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rumble Inc. it is $0.7300 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of $5.64. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rumble Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, RUM trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.64, fair value $0.7300, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RUM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7300). For Rumble Inc. the two are $4.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rumble Inc. worth?
The market values Rumble Inc. at about $3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is $5.64; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RUM?
Our models span a range for Rumble Inc.: cautious scenario $0.4800, base $0.7300, optimistic $0.9200 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price $5.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rumble Inc. (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −18.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RUM from its 52-week high?
Rumble Inc. trades at $5.64, about 45% below its 52-week high of $10.23 and 21% above the low of $4.67 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rumble Inc.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rumble Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price $5.64, calculated fair value $0.7300 (−87%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RUM calculated?
We run Rumble Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Rumble Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was $5.64. Our model-based fair value is $0.7300, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rumble Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.9200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.4800 to $0.9200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Rumble Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The market capitalisation of Rumble Inc. is $3.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rumble Inc. is 31.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Earnings per share at Rumble Inc. are $−0.6100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The net margin of Rumble Inc. is −135% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rumble Inc. is −18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rumble Inc. is −32.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
The operating margin of Rumble Inc. is −99.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rumble Inc. (RUM)?
Revenue at Rumble Inc. is growing +60.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Rumble Inc. (RUM) generate?
The free cash flow of Rumble Inc. is −$74.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Rumble Inc. (RUM) hold?
Rumble Inc. holds more cash than debt, $236M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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