EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of XCF Global, Inc. Class A $0.54, price $0.43, upside +25.9%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · US · ISIN US98400U1034

XG XCF Global, Inc. Class A logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

XCF Global, Inc. Class A

SAFX · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.5355 · Undervalued (+26%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.3145 to $0.9860
Watch XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$36.22 $0.1371 Fair Value $0.5355 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $0.1371 – $36.22 · fair‑value band $0.3145 – $0.9860 · the $0.4253 price screens below the $0.5355 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

Follow XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

XCF Global, Inc. manufactures and sells renewable fuels in the United States. It develops and operates clean fuel production facilities to produce clean-burning and sustainable biofuels, sustainable aviation fuels, and renewable diesel and naphtha products; and sells environmental credits. XCF Global, Inc.

Show more

XCF Global, Inc. manufactures and sells renewable fuels in the United States. It develops and operates clean fuel production facilities to produce clean-burning and sustainable biofuels, sustainable aviation fuels, and renewable diesel and naphtha products; and sells environmental credits. XCF Global, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock (SAFX) currently trades at $0.4253, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5355, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $2.19 per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the $0.4253 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0600, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.3145 (bear) to $0.9860 (bull), the price of $0.4253 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $20.8M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was $74.0M in FY2025, compounding +56.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $197M · P/E ratio 2.2 · P/S ratio 7.68 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4300 · Return on equity −246% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.0% · Operating margin −833% · Revenue (TTM) $15.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 210% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 26%, SAFX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3145 Fair Value $0.5355 Bull $0.9860
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $1.87 $2.49 $3.12 63
Growth-Adj P/E $1.53 $2.19 $2.84 59
P/S Multiple $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0800 58
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.21 $3.22 $4.21 51
Lynch FV $0.6200 $0.8900 $1.16 48
PEG = 1.0 $0.6200 $0.8900 $1.16 45
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.87 $2.49 $3.12 63
P/S Multiple $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0800 58
P/B Multiple $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2000 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0900 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.3700 $0.6400 $11.33 48
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.53 $2.19 $2.84 59

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when SAFX reaches fair value

Put SAFX on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Watch SAFX, get fair value alerts →

Compare XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −90% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 5.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 12.87× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)68 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 135.75 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
VERBUND AG VER €62.55 €56.60 −10%
BEP BEP $29.08 $70.40 +142%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Utilities stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock · Fair Value
$0.5355 +21%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFX

Frequently asked questions

Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5355 versus a price of $0.4253, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAFX?
Our model-based fair value for XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $0.5355 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4253.
What is the quality score of SAFX?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5355 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3145, optimistic scenario $0.9860. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5355, about +26% upside versus a price of $0.4253 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.3145, optimistic scenario $0.9860. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $0.5355 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.4253. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SAFX trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4253, fair value $0.5355, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAFX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4253); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5355). For XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $0.1102 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $197M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.4253; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5355 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAFX?
Our models span a range for XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $0.3145, base $0.5355, optimistic $0.9860 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.4253). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAFX?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5355 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 12.9, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Balance-sheet figures for XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −246.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAFX from its 52-week high?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $0.4253, about 70% below its 52-week high of $1.44 and 210% above the low of $0.1371 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5355 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.4253, calculated fair value $0.5355 (+26%), Quality Score 29/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAFX calculated?
We run XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5355, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.4253. Our model-based fair value is $0.5355, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.3145 to $0.9860). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The market capitalisation of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $197M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is 7.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Earnings per share at XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−0.4300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −246% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −38.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The operating margin of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −833% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Revenue at XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing −89.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) generate?
The free cash flow of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −$17.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) carry?
The net debt of XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $122M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock in the live analysis

One click puts XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.