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XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of XCF Global, Inc. Class A stock $0.21, price $0.08, upside +168.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities US

XG XCF Global, Inc. Class A logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

XCF Global, Inc. Class A

SAFX · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 63% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.2092 · Strongly undervalued
Positive coverage
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 113% above the price ($0.1664).
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 35/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$36.22 $0.0720 Fair Value $0.2092 Nov 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $0.0720 – $36.22 · fair‑value band $0.1664 – $0.3462 · the $0.0780 price screens below the $0.2092 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

XCF Global, Inc. manufactures and sells renewable fuels in the United States. It develops and operates clean fuel production facilities to produce clean-burning and sustainable biofuels, sustainable aviation fuels, and renewable diesel and naphtha products; and sells environmental credits.

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XCF Global, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) currently trades at $0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2092, implying the stock looks roughly 63% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.51 per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the $0.0780 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0400, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1664 (bear) to $0.3462 (bull), the price of $0.0780 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $20.8M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was $74.0M in FY2025, compounding +56.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $46.8M Micro · P/S ratio 2.83 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4300 · Return on equity −246% · Return on assets (EBIT) −38.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −833% · Revenue (TTM) $15.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −89.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 93% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 168%, SAFX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1664 Fair Value $0.2092 Bull $0.3462
Price $0.0780 · Upside +168.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/E Multiple $1.29 $1.72 $2.16 63
Growth-Adj P/E $1.06 $1.51 $1.97 59
P/S Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0500 58
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8400 $2.23 $2.91 51
Lynch FV $0.4300 $0.6200 $0.8000 48
PEG = 1.0 $0.4300 $0.6200 $0.8000 45
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.29 $1.72 $2.16 63
P/S Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0500 58
P/B Multiple $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1400 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1800 $0.2300 $0.3900 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.06 $1.51 $1.97 59

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 60
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 87
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 0
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 55
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 6
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • BuyEEME Energy SPV I, LLC10% owner119,397,858 shares at $1.19$142.1MOct 16, 2026
  • SaleRandy Soule10% owner6× since Jan 8, 2026: 20,096,193 shares, avg. $0.3215$6.5MMay 15, 2026

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Watch SAFX, get fair value alerts →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (54 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 214 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside +168.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 17.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −89.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.06× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $30.08 $72.13 +140% vs SAFX
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.55 ¥17.01 +9% vs SAFX
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.67 ¥32.21 +9% vs SAFX
VERBUND AG VER €72.40 €66.45 −8% vs SAFX
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.33 €11.12 −52% vs SAFX
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.92 ¥4.45 −59% vs SAFX
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.86 €6.43 −73% vs SAFX
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.81 €3.67 −73% vs SAFX
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 144.70 kr 33.25 −77% vs SAFX
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,449 ₹170.50 −88% vs SAFX

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XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFX

Frequently asked questions

Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2092 versus a price of $0.0780, about +168% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAFX?
Our model-based fair value for XCF Global, Inc. Class A is $0.2092 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0780.
What is the quality score of SAFX?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2092 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1664, optimistic scenario $0.3462. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2092, about +168% upside versus a price of $0.0780 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1664, optimistic scenario $0.3462. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XCF Global, Inc. Class A it is $0.2092 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $0.0780. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, SAFX trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0780, fair value $0.2092, a gap of about +168% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAFX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0780); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2092). For XCF Global, Inc. Class A the two are $0.1312 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values XCF Global, Inc. Class A at about $46.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $0.0780; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2092 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAFX?
Our models span a range for XCF Global, Inc. Class A: cautious scenario $0.1664, base $0.2092, optimistic $0.3462 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $0.0780). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Balance-sheet figures for XCF Global, Inc. Class A (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −246.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAFX from its 52-week high?
XCF Global, Inc. Class A trades at $0.0780, about 93% below its 52-week high of $1.05 and 8% above the low of $0.0720 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2092 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $0.0780, calculated fair value $0.2092 (+168%), Quality Score 38/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAFX calculated?
We run XCF Global, Inc. Class A through 9 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.2092 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. XCF Global, Inc. Class A currently trades 63% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $0.0780. Our model-based fair value is $0.2092, about +168% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1664). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1664 to $0.3462) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of XCF Global, Inc. Class A

How large is the market capitalisation of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The market capitalisation of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is $46.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is 2.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Earnings per share at XCF Global, Inc. Class A are $−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is −246% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is −38.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
The operating margin of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is −833% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX)?
Revenue at XCF Global, Inc. Class A is growing −89.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) generate?
The free cash flow of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is −$17.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does XCF Global, Inc. Class A (SAFX) carry?
The net debt of XCF Global, Inc. Class A is $122M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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