Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹21.3B
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹147.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹37.67 to ₹147.89). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹139.32 – ₹305.95 · fair‑value band ₹37.67 – ₹147.89 · the ₹162.85 price screens above the ₹92.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) currently trades at ₹162.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹92.78, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sagar Cements Limited generated revenue of ₹25.2B at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.9%. Net debt stands at ₹16.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹37.67 (bear case) to ₹147.89 (bull case); at ₹162.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -43%, SAGCEM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹126.61) versus Asset-Based (₹86.78). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sagar Cements Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of cement in India. The company offers ordinary Portland, Portland Pozzolana, sulphate resistant Portland, and Portland slag cements, as well as ground granulated blast furnace slag. Sagar Cements Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sagar Cements Limited reported revenue of ₹25.7B in FY2026 versus ₹15.9B in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹111M in FY2026.
SAGCEM screens 43% overvalued. Compare with UltraTech Cement Limited →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | -67% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | -62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 12.27 MXN | -43% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹421.00 | ₹216.73 | -49% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹24,280 | ₹8,215 | -66% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.15 TWD | 9.76 TWD | -77% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 57.60 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -76% |
| J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT | ₹5,349 | ₹2,184 | -59% |
| Dalmia Bharat Limited DALBHARAT | ₹1,842 | ₹1,032 | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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