Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Sagar Cements Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹146.25 – ₹305.21 · fair‑value band ₹13.94 – ₹142.07 · the ₹146.25 price screens above the ₹69.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Sagar Cements Limited manufactures and sells cement in India. It offers ordinary Portland, Portland Pozzolana, sulphate resistant Portland, composite cement, and Portland slag cement, as well as ground granulated blast furnace slag. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) currently trades at ₹146.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹69.70, implying the stock looks roughly 109.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹86.78 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ₹146.25 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹11.27, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹13.94 (bear) to ₹142.07 (bull), the price of ₹146.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sagar Cements Limited reported revenue of ₹25.7B in FY2026 versus ₹15.9B in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹111M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹23.5B (≈ $247M) · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −52%, SAGCEM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹13.94Fair Value ₹69.70Bull ₹142.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.7% (2021) → −0.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA4.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG0.10× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)98· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)64· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹69.70 versus a price of ₹146.25, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAGCEM?
Our model-based fair value for Sagar Cements Limited is ₹69.70 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹146.25.
What is the quality score of SAGCEM?
Sagar Cements Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹69.70 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹13.94, optimistic scenario ₹142.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sagar Cements Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹69.70, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹146.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹13.94, optimistic scenario ₹142.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Sagar Cements Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹26.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Sagar Cements Limited pay a dividend?
Sagar Cements Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sagar Cements Limited it is ₹69.70 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹146.25. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sagar Cements Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SAGCEM trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹146.25, fair value ₹69.70, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAGCEM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹146.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹69.70). For Sagar Cements Limited the two are ₹76.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sagar Cements Limited worth?
The market values Sagar Cements Limited at about ₹23.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹146.25; our models calculate a fair value of ₹69.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAGCEM?
Our models span a range for Sagar Cements Limited: cautious scenario ₹13.94, base ₹69.70, optimistic ₹142.07 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹146.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SAGCEM?
The PEG ratio of Sagar Cements Limited is 0.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sagar Cements Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.0%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAGCEM from its 52-week high?
Sagar Cements Limited trades at ₹146.25, about 51% below its 52-week high of ₹299.40 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹69.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sagar Cements Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sagar Cements Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹146.25, calculated fair value ₹69.70 (−52%), Quality Score 28/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAGCEM calculated?
We run Sagar Cements Limited through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹69.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Sagar Cements Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Sagar Cements Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹142.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹13.94 to ₹142.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sagar Cements Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The market capitalisation of Sagar Cements Limited is ₹23.5B (≈ $247M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sagar Cements Limited is 0.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Earnings per share at Sagar Cements Limited are ₹−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The dividend yield of Sagar Cements Limited is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The net margin of Sagar Cements Limited is −0.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sagar Cements Limited is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sagar Cements Limited is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
The operating margin of Sagar Cements Limited is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Revenue at Sagar Cements Limited is growing +19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM)?
Earnings per share at Sagar Cements Limited are growing −89.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) generate?
The free cash flow of Sagar Cements Limited is −₹3.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sagar Cements Limited (SAGCEM) carry?
The net debt of Sagar Cements Limited is ₹16.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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