SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of SBEC SUGAR LTD. ₹66.55, price ₹73.27, upside -9.2%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹18.00 – ₹90.05 · fair‑value band ₹49.91 – ₹83.19 · the ₹73.27 price screens above the ₹66.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow SBEC SUGAR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether SBEC SUGAR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
SBEC Sugar Limited manufactures, refines, and sells sugar from sugarcane in India. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Baghpat, India.
Stock analysis
SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG) currently trades at ₹73.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹66.55, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹186.34 per share, and 2 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹73.27 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹23.54, and 6 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹49.91 (bear) to ₹83.19 (bull), the price of ₹73.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SBEC SUGAR LTD. reported revenue of ₹5.5B in FY2026 versus ₹6.1B in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹187M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.5B (≈ $36.3M) · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.30 · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 33.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 161% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −9%, SBECSUG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹49.91Fair Value ₹66.55Bull ₹83.19
Price ₹73.27 · Upside -9.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.85 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+88.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+88.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → −4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food & Tobacco · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−9.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)33.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets−1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food & Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹66.55 versus a price of ₹73.27, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SBECSUG?
Our model-based fair value for SBEC SUGAR LTD. is ₹66.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹73.27.
What is the quality score of SBECSUG?
SBEC SUGAR LTD. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹66.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹49.91, optimistic scenario ₹83.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SBEC SUGAR LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹66.55, about −9% upside versus a price of ₹73.27 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹49.91, optimistic scenario ₹83.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
SBEC SUGAR LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SBEC SUGAR LTD. it is ₹66.55 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹73.27. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SBEC SUGAR LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SBECSUG trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹73.27, fair value ₹66.55, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBECSUG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹73.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹66.55). For SBEC SUGAR LTD. the two are ₹6.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SBEC SUGAR LTD. worth?
The market values SBEC SUGAR LTD. at about ₹3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹73.27; our models calculate a fair value of ₹66.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBECSUG?
Our models span a range for SBEC SUGAR LTD.: cautious scenario ₹49.91, base ₹66.55, optimistic ₹83.19 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹73.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SBECSUG?
SBEC SUGAR LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹66.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Balance-sheet figures for SBEC SUGAR LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 33.7%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SBECSUG from its 52-week high?
SBEC SUGAR LTD. trades at ₹73.27, about 13% below its 52-week high of ₹84.61 and 161% above the low of ₹28.11 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹66.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SBEC SUGAR LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value FB, URC, MONDE, CNPF, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SBEC SUGAR LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹73.27, calculated fair value ₹66.55 (−9%), Quality Score 34/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SBECSUG calculated?
We run SBEC SUGAR LTD. through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹66.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SBEC SUGAR LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was ₹73.27. Our model-based fair value is ₹66.55, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SBEC SUGAR LTD. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of SBEC SUGAR LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The market capitalisation of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is ₹3.5B (≈ $36.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Earnings per share at SBEC SUGAR LTD. are ₹11.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The net margin of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is 3.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is 33.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
The operating margin of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Revenue at SBEC SUGAR LTD. is growing −17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG)?
Earnings per share at SBEC SUGAR LTD. are growing +95.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG) generate?
The free cash flow of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is −₹289M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SBEC SUGAR LTD. (SBECSUG) carry?
The net debt of SBEC SUGAR LTD. is ₹2.7B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch SBEC SUGAR LTD. in the live analysis
One click puts SBEC SUGAR LTD. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
