Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Monde Nissin Corp stock PHP 1.25, price PHP 5.90, upside -78.8%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.31 PHP – 17.73 PHP · fair‑value band 0.8900 PHP – 1.61 PHP · the 5.90 PHP price screens above the 1.25 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE) currently trades at 5.90 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.25 PHP, 78.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2.06 PHP per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the 5.90 PHP price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.1900 PHP, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.8900 PHP (bear) to 1.61 PHP (bull), the price of 5.90 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Monde Nissin Corp reported revenue of 83.1B PHP in FY2024 versus 67.9B PHP in FY2020, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was 446M PHP in FY2024, compounding −50.4%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 233B PHP (≈ $3.7B) Mid · P/E ratio 65.1 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) 0.4454 PHP · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 1,173% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −79%, MONDE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0500 PHP to 6.72 PHP). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear0.8900 PHPFair Value 1.25 PHPBull1.61 PHP
Price 5.90 PHP · Upside -78.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4454 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
’18
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’21
’22
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−42.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−42.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food & Tobacco · 28 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−78.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Food & Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)65.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.25 PHP versus a price of 5.90 PHP, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MONDE?
Our model-based fair value for Monde Nissin Corp is 1.25 PHP (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.90 PHP.
What is the quality score of MONDE?
Monde Nissin Corp has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.25 PHP (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8900 PHP, optimistic scenario 1.61 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Monde Nissin Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.25 PHP, about −79% upside versus a price of 5.90 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.8900 PHP, optimistic scenario 1.61 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Monde Nissin Corp it is 1.25 PHP per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 5.90 PHP. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Monde Nissin Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, MONDE trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.90 PHP, fair value 1.25 PHP, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MONDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.90 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.25 PHP). For Monde Nissin Corp the two are 4.65 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Monde Nissin Corp worth?
The market values Monde Nissin Corp at about 233B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 5.90 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 1.25 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MONDE?
Our models span a range for Monde Nissin Corp: cautious scenario 0.8900 PHP, base 1.25 PHP, optimistic 1.61 PHP per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 5.90 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MONDE?
Monde Nissin Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.1 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.25 PHP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Monde Nissin Corp (as of Oct 27, 2026): debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MONDE from its 52-week high?
Monde Nissin Corp trades at 5.90 PHP, about 21% below its 52-week high of 7.45 PHP and 11% above the low of 5.31 PHP (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.25 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Monde Nissin Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value FB, URC, CNPF, DNL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Monde Nissin Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 5.90 PHP, calculated fair value 1.25 PHP (−79%), Quality Score 67/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MONDE calculated?
We run Monde Nissin Corp through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.25 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Monde Nissin Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 5.90 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 1.25 PHP, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Monde Nissin Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.61 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.8900 PHP to 1.61 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Monde Nissin Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
The market capitalisation of Monde Nissin Corp is 233B PHP (≈ $3.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Monde Nissin Corp is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
Earnings per share at Monde Nissin Corp are 0.4454 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
The net margin of Monde Nissin Corp is 0.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Monde Nissin Corp is 1,173% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Monde Nissin Corp is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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