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San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc PHP 39.12, price PHP 43.40, upside -9.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Non-Cyclicals · PH · ISIN PHY7510J1668

SM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc

FB · PSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 39.12 PHP · Overvalued (−10%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.4% net margin (FY2024)
!Moderate debt
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Wide moat 74/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

66.27 PHP 27.74 PHP Fair Value 39.12 PHP Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 27.74 PHP – 66.27 PHP · fair‑value band 19.18 PHP – 64.19 PHP · the 43.40 PHP price screens above the 39.12 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB) currently trades at 43.40 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.12 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 48.42 PHP per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the 43.40 PHP price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.71 PHP, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 19.18 PHP (bear) to 64.19 PHP (bull), the price of 43.40 PHP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc reported revenue of 401B PHP in FY2024 versus 279B PHP in FY2020, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.7B PHP in FY2024, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 485B PHP (≈ $7.7B) · P/E ratio 39.5 · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) 2.60 PHP · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 1,841% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −10%, FB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 19.18 PHP Fair Value 39.12 PHP Bull 64.19 PHP
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.60 PHP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 8.46 PHP 16.38 PHP 28.53 PHP 77
Growth DCF 8.54 PHP 16.16 PHP 27.67 PHP 75
Owner Earnings 20.84 PHP 36.24 PHP 59.88 PHP 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 8.46 PHP 16.38 PHP 28.53 PHP 77
Owner Earnings 20.84 PHP 36.24 PHP 59.88 PHP 74
5Y Revenue Exit 23.51 PHP 46.18 PHP 76.29 PHP 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 29.08 PHP 56.97 PHP 90.75 PHP 73
5Y P/E Exit 21.14 PHP 41.59 PHP 63.88 PHP 69
10Y Revenue Exit 16.69 PHP 35.90 PHP 63.78 PHP 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 21.36 PHP 43.35 PHP 74.92 PHP 65
10Y P/E Exit 16.34 PHP 32.72 PHP 54.22 PHP 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.68 PHP 57.13 PHP 77.08 PHP 64
Lynch FV 13.59 PHP 19.41 PHP 25.24 PHP 61
PEG = 1.0 13.59 PHP 19.41 PHP 25.24 PHP 57
EPV 29.89 PHP 35.34 PHP 40.05 PHP 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.90 PHP 7.76 PHP 11.76 PHP 67
DDM Multi-Stage 3.90 PHP 6.71 PHP 8.19 PHP 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 36.31 PHP 48.42 PHP 60.52 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 29.40 PHP 39.20 PHP 49.00 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 29.40 PHP 39.20 PHP 49.00 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 56.66 PHP 77.09 PHP 97.52 PHP 66
EV/EBITDA 45.32 PHP 61.97 PHP 78.62 PHP 67
EV/Revenue 33.07 PHP 49.23 PHP 65.39 PHP 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.20 PHP 6.97 PHP 10.40 PHP 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 8.54 PHP 16.16 PHP 27.67 PHP 75
Rev-Margin DCF 23.51 PHP 45.53 PHP 71.79 PHP 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.86 PHP 20.42 PHP 102.56 PHP 64
ROIC Compounder 33.02 PHP 43.24 PHP 55.31 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 25.63 PHP 36.61 PHP 47.59 PHP 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 8 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 13%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food & Tobacco · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.58× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food & Tobacco median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

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URC URC 58.95 PHP 40.78 PHP −31%
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CNPF CNPF 33.00 PHP 56.78 PHP +72%
DNL DNL 3.39 PHP 1.89 PHP −44%
RFM RFM 5.11 PHP 7.77 PHP +52%
AXLM AXLM 2.80 PHP 2.00 PHP −29%
EASY BIO,Inc. 353810 6,180 KRW 17,633 KRW +185%
Helixmith Co 084990 2,995 KRW 774.11 KRW −74%
LFM LFM 21.90 PHP 3.21 PHP −85%
MSC Co 009780 6,740 KRW 18,405 KRW +173%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FB

Frequently asked questions

Is San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.12 PHP versus a price of 43.40 PHP, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FB?
Our model-based fair value for San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 39.12 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 43.40 PHP.
What is the quality score of FB?
San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 39.12 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 19.18 PHP, optimistic scenario 64.19 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 39.12 PHP, about −10% upside versus a price of 43.40 PHP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 19.18 PHP, optimistic scenario 64.19 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc pay a dividend?
San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc it is 39.12 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 43.40 PHP. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FB trades above its calculated fair value: price 43.40 PHP, fair value 39.12 PHP, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (43.40 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (39.12 PHP). For San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc the two are 4.28 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc worth?
The market values San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc at about 485B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 43.40 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 39.12 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FB?
Our models span a range for San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc: cautious scenario 19.18 PHP, base 39.12 PHP, optimistic 64.19 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 43.40 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FB?
San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 39.12 PHP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
Balance-sheet figures for San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FB from its 52-week high?
San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc trades at 43.40 PHP, about 21% below its 52-week high of 54.95 PHP and 3% above the low of 42.05 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 39.12 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value URC, MONDE, CNPF, DNL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 43.40 PHP, calculated fair value 39.12 PHP (−10%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FB calculated?
We run San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 39.12 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 43.40 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 39.12 PHP, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (19.18 PHP to 64.19 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The market capitalisation of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 485B PHP (≈ $7.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 2.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
Earnings per share at San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc are 2.60 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The dividend yield of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 1.0% (payout 17.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The net margin of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 6.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 1,841% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc (FB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of San Miguel Pure Foods Company Inc is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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